St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/3/24
At 7:40 PM ET, the Cardinals and Brewers face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the heavy favorite on the money line (-146). The Cardinals are 69-69, and Steven Matz is set to start on Tuesday. Aaron Civale is going for the Brewers.
The over/under line for Tuesday’s game is sitting at 8.5 runs, and BSWI will be televising the game. On the money line, the Brewers are 81-57, while the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -146
This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, September 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Cardinals by a score of 9-3. The Brewers offense only had three more hits than the Cardinals and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -166 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Andre Pallante for the Cardinals. Peralta only went 5 1/3 innings but gave up just three hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Pallante was tagged for five runs in five innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two-through-four hitters did the most damage, as Jackson Chourio, Willy Adames, and Rhys Hoskins each homered and combined for nine RBIs. Chourio and Adames each scored twice for the Brewers’ offense.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is at an even 69-69 overall, and they are 12 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals lost the series opener vs. the Brewers, and they are 19-24 in divisional games this year.
So far, the Cardinals have been good as the underdog on the road, going 23-27 this year. St. Louis has been good on the road as the favorite, as they are 33-34 overall. Their overall series record is 22-17-5, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When betting the Cardinals on the run line, it’s been a better proposition to take them as the underdog. As the favorite, they are just 22-45 on the run line, while they are 46-25 as the underdog. Their overall run line record is 68-70, and their average run differential in winning games is +2.7, while it’s -3.6 in losses.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road facing the Milwaukee Brewers today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 67-68. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 29-17. In total, 35 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 25.4% of their games this season. Their current over streak is at four games.
Left-hander Steven Matz is starting for the Cardinals today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Through six starts, Matz has a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 6.18. So far, he has made six appearances and has a WHIP of 1.74. Matz’s last outing came on April 30th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Matz has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
The Cardinals offense is averaging just 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 23rd in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 10th in the league, and have the 18th ranked home run total in the league. One positive for the Cardinals is they have the 7th best BABIP in the league.
Alec Burleson has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as he leads the team with 21 home runs. His 72 RBIs are also the best mark on the team. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot of late, going 9/20 in his last five games, but he is still batting just .244 for the season. Goldschmidt is also on a nine-game hitting streak.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is 81-57 overall and leads the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs. The Brewers have gone 30-17 against other teams in the NL Central. At home, the Brewers are 41-25 this year and have gone 40-32 on the road.
So far, the Brewers have been good as the favorite, going 47-32, and they are 34-25 as the underdog. Milwaukee has won three straight games at home, and they have an overall series record of 24-15-4. The Brewers have won three straight series and two straight series on the road.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. That has helped them to a 72-66 run line record. They have been a profitable run line bet at home, going 33-33, and they have covered the run line in three straight home games.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. So far this season, the Brewers have played 48 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs or higher, and the over has hit in 27 of those games. The combined run average in Milwaukee’s home games this season is 8.8 runs per game, slightly higher than the over/under line for today’s game.
Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Giants on August 29th, he pitched seven innings, picking up the win in the process. Looking back over his last four outings, Civale has been solid, giving up two earned runs or fewer in each start. He has a record of 5-8 this season and an ERA of 4.59 to go along with a WHIP of 1.34. For the year, he has made seven quality starts and is averaging 8.45 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, Civale has allowed 24 home runs.
For the season, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.9 and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 8th in the league, and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee has also been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season and are 2nd in the MLB in walks.
Willy Adames is the Brewers’ top power threat, as his 29 home runs are 8th in the league and the most on the team. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting seven homers over his last 10 games while going 14/42 (.333). Adames also comes into the game on an 11-game hitting streak. William Contreras is batting .280 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 80 RBIs.