Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/3/24

The forecast from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO, calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. First pitch for Tuesday’s matchup is set for 7:40 PM ET. BSKC is carrying the game on TV.
Cleveland is currently on a two-game winning streak and is 79-59, putting them first in the AL Central. The money line odds have them at -120 compared to the Royals at +101. Tuesday’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Indians are starting Tanner Bibee. The Royals are set to go with Brady Singer.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +101
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, September 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 7 to 6
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over
Cleveland picked up a 4-2 road win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. As for the Royals, they got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final run in the 8th.
Gavin Williams only went seven innings for the Guardians but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Emmanuel Clase closed things out. As for the Royals, Michael Wacha struggled on the mound, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.
Josh Naylor and Lane Thomas each homered for the Guardians, while Naylor, Thomas, and Amed Rosario each had two hits and two RBIs. Whit Merrifield went 2/4 with two runs scored for the Royals.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is on the road today, taking on the Royals, and they lead the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians are 79-59 overall and have gone 23-20 against other teams in the AL Central. They have won two straight games, and their series record is 25-13-5 this year.
At home, the Guardians have gone 43-25 this year, and they are just above .500 at 36-34 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland is 55-30 this year and 24-29 as the underdog. Cleveland has gone 6-4 across their last 10 games and will look to pick up another win today on the road.
When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have a run line record of 36-34, which is slightly better than their overall mark of 69-69. They have a run line record of 31-22 as an underdog and 38-47 as a favorite.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road against the Kansas City Royals today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-64. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-14-5. Overall, 46.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
Cleveland is starting right-hander Tanner Bibee today vs. the Royals. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 10-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his 26 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.82 strikeouts per nine innings. Bibee most recently faced the Royals on August 28th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a 6-3 record and 2.89 ERA compared to 4-3 with a 4.96 ERA at home.
Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. As a team, the Guardians are batting just .239, which is 14th in the league, and they have the league’s worst BABIP.
José Ramírez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Ramirez’s 34 homers leading the team and Naylor’s 29 also being among the league leaders. Naylor also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 11/27 in his last seven games, including a home run and eight RBIs.
Royals Records & Stats
The Royals are 75-64 overall and trail the Guardians by 4.5 games in the AL Central. They have dropped six straight games, and this losing streak has come after going 29-15 in divisional games this year. At home, the Royals are 41-29 compared to 34-35 on the road.
So far, the Royals have gone 43-26 as the favorite, and they are 32-38 as the underdog. Kansas City has dropped three straight as the home underdog, and their overall series record is 19-22-2. Kansas City lost the series opener vs. the Guardians and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
When the Royals are favored, they are 35-34 on the run line. When they are the underdog, they are 41-29. Their average run differential in all games is +0.7, and they are 76-63 on the run line overall. They are 39-31 on the run line at home, where their average run differential is +0.7. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1 and in losses is -3.3. They have lost three straight run line bets at home.
Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs for the Kansas City Royals’ home game against the Cleveland Guardians. The Royals have an over/under record of 64-71 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 14-12-2. Overall, 62.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Through 27 starts, Brady Singer has a record of 9-9 and an ERA of 3.36. For the season, he has made 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.67 strikeouts per nine innings. Singer’s last outing came against the Astros, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and he gave up one homer in the outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Singer has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 3.09 ERA compared to 4.47 on the road.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Kansas City is also one of the league’s top-hitting teams, with a batting average of .254 (7th). The Royals have been tough to strike out this season, but they are near the bottom of the league in walks.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 30 homers are 7th in the league. Witt Jr. is also 6th in the league with 97 RBIs. However, he is hitting just .206 over his last nine games. Salvador Perez is 8th in the league in RBIs and has 25 homers.