St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/12/24

At 2:10 from American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have an NL Central matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Cardinals are 15-24, while the Brewers come in with a record of 24-15. St. Louis will be sending Miles Mikolas to the mound vs. Bryse Wilson for the Brewers.

Milwaukee is the favorite at -147, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSMW.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -147

This game will be played at American Family Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, May 12th.

HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS BREWERS:

  • We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Cardinals series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as -191 favorites and squeaked out a 5-3 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Cardinals and struck out nine times, but still picked up a win.

St. Louis had a two-run 5th inning and added their final run in the 6th. As for the Brewers, they scored three runs in the 3rd and added two more in the 7th. Both teams went scoreless in the 1st and 2nd innings.

Freddy Peralta got the start for the Brewers and went six innings while giving up three runs and striking out eight. Hoby Milner got the win out of the bullpen, and Trevor Megill got the save. Andrew Kittredge took the loss for the Cardinals out of the bullpen.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they have dropped seven straight games, and all of these losses have come vs. NL Central teams. Overall, the Cardinals are 15-24, putting them 5th in the NL Central, nine games behind the Brewers. The Cardinals are just 6-10 as the road underdog this season, and they are only 5-14 in day games.

So far, the Cardinals have really struggled at home, going 6-11. They have been a bit better on the road, coming in with a mark of 9-13. St. Louis has dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 8-12 when favored this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Cardinals are 5-7 and have dropped three straight series.

The Cardinals are 18-21 against the run line this season, with a -1.3 run differential. They are 10-12 vs. the run line on the road, where they are 5-0 against the run line in their last five games. As the favorite, they are just 7-13 vs. the run line, but as the underdog, they are 11-8.

St. Louis has been a part of 20 games this season where the over/under line was set at 8 or higher, and the over has hit in 13 of those games. The Cardinals have gone over the total in four straight games, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with the average line for Cardinals games this season.

Right-hander Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Brewers on the road. This year, he has made eight starts and has a record of 2-5 with a 6.43 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Mikolas has a WHIP of 1.48 and opponents are batting .318 off him this year. In his three quality starts, Mikolas has a record of 1-2. His ERA at home is 8.61 compared to 6.14 on the road. The last time he pitched, he gave up six earned runs in four innings of work.

St. Louis comes into the game with the league’s worst home run total and are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. This includes being 29th in runs per game (3.4) and 17th in batting average (.218). So far, they have been a very streaky offense, as they have scored 10+ runs in four games but have also been held to one run or fewer in four games. Nolan Arenado has been a bright spot for the team, as he is batting .270 for the season and has a team-high 20 RBIs.

Willson Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/14 in his last five games. This has helped him move into the team lead in home runs, with six, which is 7th best in the league. However, he will be looking to improve on his on-base percentage of .398. Nolan Arenado has also been swinging the bat well, going 8/30 in his last eight games.

Brewers Records & Stats

With an overall record of 24-15, the Brewers hold a 1.5-game lead over the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers have taken the first three games of this series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 11-5 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers are 10-7 this year and have gone 14-8 on the road. Milwaukee has won three straight games overall, and they have won five straight at home. As the favorite, the Brewers are 11-6 this year and 13-9 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 6-4 in series and have dropped two straight series.

The Brewers have been a solid team against the run line this season, going 21-18 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, going 14-8, while they’ve struggled to cover at home, going just 7-10. They’ve been a good bet as an underdog, going 15-7, while they’ve struggled as the favorite, going just 6-11. They’ve been on a run line win streak of five games at home and two games overall.

With an average combined run total of 9.3 runs per game, the Brewers have seen the over hit in 24 of their 39 games this season. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, and in games where the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has gone 0-3. Their last five games have all gone over the total, and the over has hit in 61.5% of their games this season.

Through four starts, Bryse Wilson has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 2.40 for the Brewers. He has made 10 appearances this season and has a WHIP of .93. Wilson has turned in two quality starts this year and is averaging 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Wilson didn’t allow a run. He went six innings vs. the Royals, giving up just one hit and three walks. Wilson finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.

William Contreras is currently on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 8/18 in his last five games. For the season, he is batting .342 with a team-high 30 RBIs. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are also near the top of the Brewers’ leaderboards in home runs, with Adames having seven and Hoskins nine. Adames is batting .265, while Hoskins is at just .233.

As a team, the Brewers are 4th in scoring at 5.1 runs per game and have been one of the league’s best home run-hitting clubs. Overall, they are batting .255, which is also 4th in the league. In terms of on-base percentage, they are 3rd in the league, and their team OPS of .756 is also 3rd in the MLB.