Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 5/12/24

The Guardians and White Sox are set to face off in an American League matchup at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday. This one is being played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and features a Guardians club that is 24-16 this season. Cleveland is the favorite on the money line at -173, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

Michael Soroka will start for the White Sox, and he is facing off against Logan Allen for the Guardians. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by NBCS.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -173

This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, May 12th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS WHITE SOX:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Chicago picked up a 3-1 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The White Sox offense only had two more hits than the Guardians and struck out six times, but still picked up a win thanks to a strong outing from Mike Clevinger, who went just 4 2/3 innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Tim Hill got the win out of the bullpen, and John Brebbia got the save.

Triston McKenzie started for the Guardians and gave up just one hit and one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. McKenzie’s good outing went to waste as he took the loss.

Andrew Vaughn was the only player in the game to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4 with an RBI. Josh Naylor hit the game’s only home run, going 1/4.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland comes into today’s game in 1st place in the AL Central, leading the Twins by a half-game. The Guardians are 24-16 overall and have gone 6-5 against other teams in the AL Central. They have dropped three straight games, with the last three losses coming in this series vs. the White Sox.

So far, the Guardians have been good at home, going 12-6, but they are just above .500 at 12-10 on the road. This season, they have been really good in day games, going 11-4. As the favorite, the Guardians are 15-9 this year and 9-7 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 9-3, and they have won two straight series.

When the Guardians are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 13-9 this season. They have a run line record of 23-17 overall, with an average run differential of +0.9 runs per game. Cleveland has been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 12-4, compared to 11-13 as the favorite. Their run line losing streak on the road is currently at four games.

When the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox have played this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average is also 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 21-17. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game.

Cleveland is sending Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the White Sox, and he comes into the game with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 6.41. Looking at his overall numbers, Allen has made eight starts, and opponents are batting .285 off him this year. Allen’s WHIP is 1.55, and he has issued 3.2 walks per nine innings compared to 7.55 strikeouts. The last time he pitched, Allen gave up seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work vs. the Tigers. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

The Guardians offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game this season, which is 11th in the league. They have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season and are also among the league leaders in home runs. Overall, they are batting .238, which is 12th in the league. Josh Naylor and Jose Ramirez have been leading the way in terms of power, with Naylor’s 11 homers being 2nd in the league, and Ramirez’s 9 homers is 4th in the league.

Naylor and Ramirez have also been swinging the bat well of late, with both players hitting four home runs in their past seven games. Naylor has gone 8/24 (.333) in this stretch, while Ramirez is hitting .296. Naylor also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.

White Sox Records & Stats

With a record of 12-28, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 12 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-18. Chicago has won four straight games, with their most recent win coming last night vs. the Guardians.

Chicago has gone 8-12 at home compared to 4-16 on the road. This season, the White Sox are just 1-0 as the favorite, and they are 7-12 as the underdog at home. Their overall series record is 2-9-1, and they have won three straight games as the underdog.

Chicago is 20-20 against the run line this season, but they have been much better at home, going 13-7. They have covered the run line in three straight games at home and as an underdog, they are 19-20 against the run line. Their average run differential is -2.1 runs per game, but in their wins, they are +2.2 and in losses, they are -3.9.

When the White Sox play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs just 20% of the time. Their average over/under line is 8 runs, and their over/under record is 18-21. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season.

Michael Soroka is still looking for his first win of the season and comes into the game with a record of 0-4 and ERA of 6.34. So far, he has made eight starts and has one quality start to his name. Soroka’s WHIP for the season is 1.59, and he is averaging just 4.7 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Soroka took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. He allowed a home run in that outing. Soroka has given up a home run in three of his last four starts.

Heading into today’s game, the White Sox are the worst scoring team in the league, averaging just 3 runs per game. This is also the case when looking at their home and road splits. As a team, they are batting just .214, which is 18th in the league, and they also have the worst on-base percentage in the league. Chicago’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.

Paul DeJong has been swinging the bat well of late, going 10/26 in his last seven games with three home runs. He also has a five-game hitting streak. DeJong is currently the White Sox’s leader in home runs, while Andrew Benintendi is the team’s top run producer, but he is batting just .194 for the season. Over his last seven games, DeJong has driven in six runs.