New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 5/12/24

At 1:40 PM ET, the Yankees and Rays will face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, with the Rays looking to move above .500 for the season. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line (+118).

New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound, and he is facing off against Tyler Alexander for the Rays. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and you can catch this one on BSSUN.

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline +118

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, May 12th.

HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS RAYS:

• We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Tampa Bay cruised to a 7-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Rays were favored at -110.

Zack Littell got the win for the Rays, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Nestor Cortes had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.

Yandy Diaz and Randy Arozarena each homered for the Rays, while Isaac Paredes scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/3. Anthony Volpe had a three-hit game for the Yankees.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 26-15 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 7-8 in divisional matchups. New York is playing on the road today vs. the Rays and are 13-9 on the road this year.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 19-11 this year, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. New York has an overall series record of 9-2-1, and they have won two straight series. Currently, the Yankees are tied 1-1 in their series vs. the Rays.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. In losses, they lose by an average of -2.6 runs per game. As a result, they are just 20-21 against the run line this season. They are 12-10 against the run line on the road, but just 8-11 at home. As the favorite, they are just 12-18 against the run line, while they are 8-3 as the underdog.

With a combined run average of 8.1, the New York Yankees have had a higher average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season. In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, they have a record of 3-4. Their over/under record for the season is 17-22, and the over has hit in 70.7% of their games this season.

New York is sending right-hander Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with a 2.92 ERA. Gil has been pitching well lately, as he has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his last three outings. In his most recent start, he went six innings and gave up one earned run, picking up the win. Gil’s ERA at home is 1.88, compared to 4.08 on the road. So far, he has made two quality starts this year.

So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team and are near the top of the league in team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, the Yankees are batting .248, which is the 6th best mark in the league.

Juan Soto has been the Yankees’ top hitter so far this season, with a batting average of .316 and 33 RBIs, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Soto’s 9 homers is also the best mark on the team and 4th in the league. Aaron Judge has also been swinging a good bat of late, hitting .303 over his last 10 games with three homers.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays are currently at .500 with a record of 20-20, and they are seven games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Tampa Bay will host the Yankees today with an overall division record of 4-5. So far, they have been good at home, going 14-11, and they are 6-9 on the road.

As the favorite, the Rays have gone 14-15 this year, and they are 6-5 as the underdog. Tampa Bay has an overall series record of 5-5-2 this year and have won two straight series. The Rays are also 6-4 over their last 10 games and are currently tied with the Yankees in their series.

When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.6 runs per game. In their losses, they lose by an average of -4.0 runs per game. Overall, they are 16-24 against the run line, including 10-15 at home and 6-9 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 9-20 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 7-4.

Today’s over/under line for the Rays game against the Yankees is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 22-18. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Rays have gone over in 8 of 11 games. Overall, half of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Tyler Alexander gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just two earned runs in 4 innings of work vs. the White Sox. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back at his last four starts, Alexander has finished with a no-decision in three of them. His ERA for the season is 4.96, along with a record of 1-1. Opponents are batting .265 off Alexander this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.27 strikeouts and 2.76 walks.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays so far this season, as he is batting .301 and is tied for 5th in the league with eight home runs. Paredes has also driven in 21 runs, which is 12th in the league. Over his last eight games, Paredes is hitting .346 with one homer. Randy Arozarena is also among the league leaders in home runs, but he is batting just .154 over his last nine games.

Yandy Diaz is currently on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 13/38 in his last nine games. During this stretch, he has driven in seven runs. Harold Ramirez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/28 in his last eight games.