Looking to win big? The Bulls and Pirates face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Pirates are hosting the game at Minges Coliseum in Greenville, NC. The odds for this American Athletic conference game currently have East Carolina as the -2.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 140.5 points.


The Pick: East Carolina Pirates -2.5

This game will be played at Minges Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Pirates.
  • Not only will East Carolina pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Bulls Come Through as Road Underdogs?

South Florida comes into this game as the underdog, as they have gone 2-3 on the road this season compared to 11-2 at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +10.8, while on the road, it is -5.2.

Over their last 10 road games, the Bulls have gone 4-6, and their current win streak is at five games. They are 13-5 overall this season, and their record in the American Athletic Conference is 6-1.

South Florida's ATS record this season is 11-5-2, including a 2-2-1 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Bulls are 2-2-1 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 3-6-1 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for South Florida games is 6-12 and today's line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (149). However, the average scoring total in their last three games is 147 points.

South Florida recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 89 points against UTSA. This output exceeded their season average of 76.7 points per game. On the offensive front, the Bulls have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 280th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 212nd in terms of percentage and 89th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Bulls' defense holds the 125th rank in the nation, allowing 70.3 points per game. In their most recent game, the South Florida defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as UTSA knocked down 18 three-pointers on their way to 72 points.

Will East Carolina Find a Way to Win at Home?

East Carolina comes into this game as a 2.5-point favorite, and they have a record of 6-3 when favored this season. The Pirates have gone 7-6 at home, and they are coming off a 54-52 win over Wichita State.

Over their last 10 games at home, East Carolina has gone 6-4, and their average scoring margin at home is +3.4. So far this year, they have gone 11-10 overall, including an 8-6 mark in non-conference games.

East Carolina has not been a good team to bet on this season, as their ATS record sits at just 9-9-1. Their ATS record at home is just 5-7-1 and they have gone just 3-6-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Today's over/under line of 140.5 for the East Carolina game is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (142.6). For the season, their over/under record is 7-12. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 122 points and their over/under record is 0-3.

In their most recent game, the East Carolina offense concluded with only 54 points against Wichita State. Throughout the game, they made 5/14 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 33.8%. The top scorer for the Pirates was Brandon Johnson with 12 points, while Ezra Ausar also added 10 to the scoreboard.

Currently, the Pirates' defense holds the 87th rank in the nation, allowing 68.0 points per game. The East Carolina defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 52 points and allowed Wichita State to connect on 3 threes.