The Mustangs and Racers are set to face off at 6:00 ET on CBSS. The Racers will host the game at CFSB Center in Murray, KY. In this non-conference matchup, the Mustangs are the betting favorite against the Racers. The over/under for the game is 139.5 points.

SMU MUSTANGS VS MURRAY STATE RACERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Murray State Racers +5.5

This game will be played at CFSB Center at 6:00 ET on Friday, December 22nd.

WHY BET THE MURRAY STATE RACERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 72-71 in favor of the Racers.
  • Not only will Murray State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Mustangs Win in Murray?

SMU comes into this game with a record of 8-4, having played 12 games already this season. On the road, the Mustangs have a 2-2 record, while they are 3-2 at home. SMU's against the spread (ATS) record is below .500, sitting at 4-5. When playing away games, the Mustangs have a 3-1 ATS record, while at home they are 1-4 vs. the spread.

Through 12 games, SMU has an over/under record of 2-7-0 with their games averaging a combined 135.7 points per game so far. Looking at the Mustangs' last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with their games averaging 139 points per game.

The SMU offense is coming off a game in which they scored 68 points vs. Florida State. Overall their field goal percentage was 46.4% while connecting on 7 threes. The team's top scorer is Zhuric Phelps, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 15.2, while Chuck Harris also maintains a PPG average of 13.8 leading up to the game.

In the current season, the SMU defense has excelled, sitting 16th in the nation by allowing 61.1 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.7 threes per game vs. Murray State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 25.8%.

Are the Racers Ready for a Home Win?

Murray State, with a season record of 3-8, will face SMU. In their previous five home games, including last year, Murray State has a 2-3 record. As of today's game, Murray State has a 3-6 ATS record. When playing at home this season, Murray State is 1-3 vs. the spread, and in their previous ten home games, they are 3-6.

Through 11 games, Murray State has an over/under record of 6-3-0 with their games averaging a combined 146.4 points per game so far. Over the course of the last five games, the Racers' games have averaged 135 points per game, along with an over/under record of 2-3.

In their recent matchup, the Murray State offense ended with 66 points against Little Rock. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 36.4% and made 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Rob Perry, who is averaging 15 heading into today's matchup. Additionally, Jacobi Wood also maintains a PPG average of 12.3 heading into game.

Murray State's defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.1 threes per game vs. SMU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.9%.