SMU Mustangs vs Duke Blue Devils Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24
At 8:00 ET, this SMU Mustangs vs. Duke Blue Devils matchup will be played at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham. The game will be televised on ACCN as the Mustangs and Blue Devils, who are both 6-1 this season, face off. SMU is the heavy favorite at -11 points, and the over/under line is currently 48.5 points.
SMU MUSTANGS VS DUKE BLUE DEVILS BETTING PICK
The Pick: SMU Mustangs -11
This game will be played at Wallace Wade Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, October 26th.
WHY BET THE SMU MUSTANGS:
- We have the SMU Mustangs winning this one by a score of 36 to 20
- Not only do we have the SMU Mustangs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -11
- Look for this game to go over the line of 48.5 points
Will The SMU Mustangs Win As Road Favorites?
SMU enters Week 9 against Duke with a 6-1 record and ranks 16th in our power rankings. They are projected to be bowl-eligible and have a 23.5% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. Nationally, they have the 17th best odds to make the playoff at 32.3%.
With a +20.1 average scoring margin, SMU is 4-2 against the spread this season. They’ve gone 2-1 ATS on the road and 2-1 at home. As favorites, they are 2-2 ATS, but they’ve covered both games as underdogs.
SMU’s over/under record is 3-3, with their games averaging 61.3 points. Their average over/under line is 54.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 48.5 points.
Heading into week 9, SMU’s offense is averaging 40.7 points per game, ranking 11th nationally. They are also 21st in rushing, with 208.6 yards per game on 39.6 attempts. Brashard Smith leads the ground attack with 625 yards, seven touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry.
Quarterback Kevin Jennings has thrown for 1,336 yards, completing 66% of his passes, with nine touchdowns and two interceptions. SMU ranks 21st in passer rating and third-down conversions, converting 45.7% of their attempts. Jake Bailey leads the receivers with 260 yards and one touchdown.
SMU’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 9th nationally by allowing just 89.1 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Stanford, they gave up only 33 rushing yards on 35 attempts. The defense also forced two interceptions and allowed just 10 points in the 40-10 win.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed only 52% of their passes against SMU, which ranks 10th in the nation. This season, SMU’s defense has faced an average of 33.4 pass attempts per game, allowing 230.6 passing yards per contest.
Are The Duke Blue Devils Going Win In At Upset At Wallace Wade Stadium
Duke enters Week 9 with a 6-1 record, facing SMU at home. They are 3-0 at home and rank 64th in our power rankings. Duke is already bowl-eligible, but they have just a 0.2% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, according to projections.
The Blue Devils have a +8.6 average scoring margin this season and are 3-1-1 against the spread. They’ve been favored in three games, going 2-1 ATS as the favorite.
Duke’s over/under record is 1-4, with their games averaging 43.1 points. Their average over/under line is 47.8 points, slightly below this week’s line of 48.5.
Duke’s offense has been underwhelming, ranking 104th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. They are averaging 25.9 points per game, placing them 66th nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is just 26.8%, ranking 107th, and they are 100th in rushing, with 116.3 yards per game.
Quarterback Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,501 yards and 14 touchdowns, but Duke is 75th in passing yards per game, averaging 215.4. Murphy has five interceptions and a passer rating of 89. Star Thomas leads the rushing attack with 616 yards, while Jordan Moore has 453 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
Duke’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 17th nationally by allowing just 17.3 points per game. In their recent win over Florida State, they gave up only 16 points and forced two interceptions.
Opponents have averaged 153.6 passing yards per game against Duke, the 11th-lowest figure in the country. The defense has faced 39.7 rushing attempts per game, allowing an average of 153.4 rushing yards.