Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24

Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens is the setting for this week nine matchup between the Miami Hurricanes and Florida State Seminoles, scheduled for 7:00 ET on Saturday, October 26th. The game will be broadcast on ESPN, and the Hurricanes come in with a perfect 7-0 record, while the Seminoles are just 1-6 on the season. Miami is heavily favored at -21 points, with the over/under line set at 54.5 points.

FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES VS MIAMI HURRICANES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Florida State Seminoles +21

This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, October 26th.

WHY BET THE FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES:

• We have the Miami Hurricanes winning this one by a score of 40 to 21
• Even though we like the Miami Hurricanes to win, our ATS pick is to take the Florida State Seminoles at +21
• Look for this game to go over the line of 54.5 points

Will The Florida State Seminoles Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Florida State heads into Week 9 against Miami with a 1-6 record and no chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, according to projections. They are ranked 68th in our power rankings and have just a 0.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.

The Seminoles have been favored in four of their seven games but have gone 1-3 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -10 points per game, and they are 2-5 against the spread this season.

This week’s over/under line is set at 54.5 points, higher than any of Florida State’s previous games. Their over/under record is 1-6, with an average line of 48.7 points and an average total of 40 points per game.

Florida State’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 120th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. They are 103rd in points per game, averaging just 15, and have converted only 26.8% of their third-down attempts. Their run game has been particularly weak, with 80.3 rushing yards per game, placing them 121st nationally.

DJ Uiagalelei leads the Seminoles’ passing attack with 1,065 yards, but he has thrown six interceptions to just four touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 67. Florida State ranks 130th in passer rating nationally. Ja’Khi Douglas leads the team with 354 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Florida State’s defense is coming off a game where they allowed just 23 points but still lost 23-16 to Duke. They gave up only 10 first downs and 187 total yards, including 117 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 70 passing yards.

On the season, Florida State ranks 53rd nationally, allowing 25 points per game. Opponents are averaging 198 passing yards per game and 179.1 rushing yards. Quarterbacks have a passer rating of 98.3 against Florida State, completing 62% of their throws.

Are The Miami Hurricanes Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Miami enters Week 9 against Florida State with a perfect 7-0 record, ranking 10th in our CFB power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 44.2% chance to win the ACC. Miami also holds the third-best odds to make the CFB playoff at 86.3%.

The Hurricanes have been favored in six of their seven games, going 6-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +25.7 points per game, and they are 4-2 against the spread this season.

Miami’s over/under record stands at 5-0-1, with their games averaging 70.9 points. Their average over/under line is 57.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 54.5 points.

Heading into week 9, Miami’s offense ranks 2nd in points per game, averaging 48.3, and they are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the best in the nation, with 388.4 yards per game, and they lead the nation in third-down conversions, converting 60.2% of their attempts. They are 6th in passing completions, averaging 26.6 per game, and 13th in attempts, with 38 per game.

Cam Ward has thrown for 2,538 yards this season, completing 68.7% of his passes, and has 24 touchdowns with 5 interceptions. His passer rating is 126. Xavier Restrepo leads the receivers with 686 yards and six touchdowns on 39 catches. Miami is averaging 189.6 rushing yards per game.

Miami’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 45 points in their recent game against Louisville. They gave up 342 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air, while holding Louisville to 106 rushing yards on 21 attempts.

On the season, Miami ranks 12th nationally in rushing yards allowed, giving up just 93.3 yards per game. Opponents have averaged 214.1 passing yards per game against Miami, completing 56.2% of their passes.