Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 5/9/24
Thursday’s matchup between the Mariners and Twins is set for 1:10 from Target Field in Minneapolis. Seattle comes in with a record of 20-17, while the Twins are 21-15 overall. The over/under line is at 6.5 runs, and the Twins are the favorite on the money line at -130.
MLBN is carrying coverage of Thursday’s game, and the forecast looks good in Minneapolis, with the temperature expected to be around 50 degrees with scattered clouds. Logan Gilbert gets the start for the Mariners, and he is facing off against Pablo Lopez for the Twins.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -130
This game will be played at Target Field at 1:10 ET on Thursday, May 9th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Mariners series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -109 and squeaked out a 6-3 win. The Twins offense only had three more hits than the Mariners and struck out nine times, but still picked up a win.
Seattle’s starter, George Kirby, went just five innings and gave up four runs on four hits. He did finish the game with four strikeouts and only issued one walk. As for the Twins, Chris Paddack got the start and picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run.
Minnesota’s two-through-four hitters, Carlos Correa, Trevor Larnach, and Mitch Garver, each had two hits and combined for two homers and four RBIs. Garver’s home run came in the 8th inning and gave the Twins some insurance runs.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 20-17 overall and is 2nd in the AL West, one game behind the Rangers for the division lead. The Mariners are 4-2 against other teams in the AL West. As they are on the road today, the Mariners are an even 9-9 this year compared to 11-8 at home.
The Mariners have won three straight games as the underdog, and they are 9-8 as the underdog overall. As for their record as the favorite, the Mariners are 11-9 this year. Seattle has an overall series record of 6-4-1, and they have won six straight series.
The Mariners have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 18-19 overall. They have been especially good against the run line as the underdog, going 10-7. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.0.
The Mariners have played 36 games with over/under lines higher than 6.5 runs, and their games have averaged 7.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 10-25, and they have gone over the total in two straight games. Today’s over/under line is set at 6.5 runs, and their over/under record in games with that line is 0-1.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Twins. Gilbert has made six straight quality starts and has a record of 3-0 with an ERA of 1.69. In his 48 innings of work, Gilbert has allowed just five home runs. Looking back at his most recent outing, Gilbert went eight innings vs. the Astros, giving up no runs on four hits. He finished that game with six strikeouts. Gilbert’s ERA on the road is 1.88 compared to 1.83 at home. So far, he has made four starts on the road and three at home.
Cal Raleigh has been struggling at the plate of late, going just 4/24 in his last seven games, but he has hit three home runs over that stretch. For the season, he leads the Mariners with nine homers and is 13th in the league with 22 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez has gone 9/29 in his last seven games and is batting .267 for the season.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 3.7 runs per game and are also the league’s worst team in terms of striking out. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of both on-base percentage and slugging. Currently, Mitch Haniger and Jorge Polanco are tied for 2nd on the team with five homers, but both are batting under .215 for the season.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 21-15 overall and trails the Guardians by 2.5 games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 12-7 in divisional matchups. The Twins have taken two of the first three games of their series vs. the Mariners and are playing at home today.
The Twins have been playing well lately, as they are 8-2 over their last 10 games. This season, they are 10-8 at home compared to an 11-7 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 17-7 and 4-8 as the underdog. They have also won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road.
The Twins have been a solid play on the run line this season, going 19-17 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 11-7 against the run line. However, they have failed to cover the run line in their last two games as the favorite, dropping their record to 13-11 in that spot. They have been outscored by an average of 3.9 runs in their losses, while they are winning by an average of 3.4 runs in their victories.
The Twins have gone over the total in two straight games, and their over/under record is 18-17 on the season. Today’s over/under line is set at 6.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Twins’ games have had an average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and 97.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 6.5-run total.
Pablo López is coming off a strong outing for the Twins, as he picked up the win in his last start. Against the Red Sox on May 4th, he went 6 innings, giving up just one earned run. In that outing, he had eight strikeouts. Looking back further, López has made three straight starts without giving up more than three earned runs. He has a record of 3-2 this season and an ERA of 4.30. For the year, he has a WHIP of 1.03 and opponents are batting .221 off the right-hander. López has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 10.75 strikeouts per nine innings.
Minnesota’s offense has been led by Ryan Jeffers and Edouard Julien, who are tied for the team lead with seven home runs apiece. Jeffers comes into the game with a team-leading 27 RBIs, which is 8th in the league right now. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/32 in his last nine games. Willi Castro has also been swinging a hot bat for the Twins, going 14/38 in his last 10 games.
Carlos Santana and Edouard Julien have both been big power threats for the Twins this season, but both are looking to get their batting averages up, as Santana is hitting just .181, and Julien is batting .204. Max Kepler is on a 10-game hitting streak and has gone 13/30 in his last nine games.