Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 5/9/24

At 1:10 from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, we have an NL matchup between the Diamondbacks and Reds. The forecast calls for light rain in Cincinnati, with temperatures in the mid-60s. Arizona comes in with a record of 17-20, while the Reds are 16-20.

Thursday’s starting pitching matchup features Slade Cecconi for the Diamondbacks and Hunter Greene for the Reds. Cincinnati is the favorite at -125, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.

CINCINNATI REDS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -125

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 1:10 ET on Thursday, May 9th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Reds series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -107 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Diamondbacks offense only had two more hits than the Reds and struck out seven times, but still picked up a win.

Cincinnati had a chance to win the game in the 9th inning, as they scored one run and had the tying run on first base, but Joe Mantiply closed things out for the Diamondbacks. Graham Ashcraft had a rough outing for the Reds, taking the loss.

Jordan Montgomery pitched well for the Diamondbacks in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He picked up a win in the game, moving to 3-2 on the season. Eugenio Suarez provided the big blow for Arizona’s offense, as he homered and drove in three runs.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 17-20 overall this season. In the NL West, they are eight games behind the Dodgers and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 9-8 in divisional matchups.

As the road team today, the Diamondbacks are 8-10 compared to 9-10 at home. Arizona has dropped four straight series and are 3-7-1 overall in series this year. They are also 5-7 as the road underdog this year.

When betting the run line on the Diamondbacks, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 11-9 against the run line in those games. They are also 9-9 against the run line on the road this season, and their current run line win streak on the road is at three games.

Arizona’s games have gone under in two straight, and the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 15-21 on the season. The combined run average in their games is 9.7, and the average over/under line for their games is 9.0. In games with an over/under line of 9, they are 3-5. Overall, 11 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, which accounts for 29.7% of their games this season. Their games have gone under the over/under line of 9 runs in 48.6% of their games this season.

Slade Cecconi and the Diamondbacks are on the road to take on the Reds today. Cecconi has started three games so far this season, and he is coming off of a loss in his last outing, where he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 6 runs. His first start of the season was a win, and he struck out 8 in 6 innings vs. the Mariners.

Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been one of the league’s best teams at putting the ball in play, as they are 5th in the league in strikeouts and 7th in walks.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks’ top power threats this season, with each having gone deep 7 times. Walker is also 10th in the league with 25 RBIs and is batting .273 for the season. Marte comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak and is batting .301 for the season. Over his last eight games, Marte is 9/32 with two homers.

Reds Records & Stats

The Reds are looking to snap a seven-game losing streak today, and they are 16-20 overall, which puts them five games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games. Cincinnati has dropped three straight games at home, and they are 7-8 as the home favorite this year.

As the underdog, the Reds are just 6-12 this year, and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. This season, the Reds have really struggled in close games, as they are just 4-6 in one-run games. So far, they have been a bit better on the road, going 7-8 compared to 9-12 at home.

The Reds have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 17-19 against the run line. They are 8-13 at home and have failed to cover the run line in their last six games at Great American Ball Park. However, they have been much better on the road, going 9-6 against the run line. They have been a .500 team against the run line as the favorite, going 9-9, and are 8-10 as the underdog.

With a combined run average of 8.8, the Cincinnati Reds have seen their games go over the 9-run line in just 27.8% of their contests this season. In their last 10 games, the O/U line has been set at 9 runs or higher in 7 of them, but the under has cashed in 6 of those games. The Reds’ O/U record for the season is 18-17, and the under has hit in their last two games.

Hunter Greene has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.12. In his 40 1/3 innings of work, Greene has a WHIP of 1.17 and batting average allowed of .211. Looking at his overall numbers, Greene has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Orioles on May 3rd, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up five hits and four walks. One of his home runs this year came in that outing. Greene’s lone complete game came on April 22nd.

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top power threats this season, as his eight home runs are the best mark on the team and 5th best in the league. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .167 over his last eight games. Overall, he is batting .254 for the season. Spencer Steer and Will Benson are tied for 2nd on the Reds with four homers apiece, but Steer is batting just .234, and Benson is at just .190.

As a team, the Reds are batting just .209, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Cincinnati’s offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 17th in the league.