Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Pick & Prediction 7/11/24

Thursday’s forecast in Anaheim calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid 80s. First pitch from Angel Stadium is set for 9:38 PM ET. RSNW will be televising this one, and the Mariners are the favorites on the money line (-165).
Seattle comes in with a record of 51-43 and is currently on a two-game winning streak. The Angels are 4th in the AL West at 38-54 and will be sending Jack Kochanowicz to the mound vs. Luis Castillo for the Mariners.
LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Angels Moneyline +140
This game will be played at Angel Stadium of Anaheim at 9:38 ET on Thursday, July 11th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS ANGELS:
- We have the Angels winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Angels to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Mariners Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Padres, the Mariners closed out the series with a 2-0 win. Seattle was the +123 underdog on the money line. It was a big game for Bryce Miller, as he picked up the win and didn’t give up a run. He only had one strikeout in the outing but issued just one walk. The Mariners also got a good start from Andrés Muñoz, who picked up the save and struck out three in his inning of work.
Offensively, the Mariners only had four hits but scored two runs. They got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning and added another run in the 4th. Both of their runs were scored by players who went 1 for 3.
Seattle is on the road today vs. the Angels, and they lead the AL West by 2 games, with an overall record of 51-43. The Mariners have been good against other teams in the AL West, going 17-5 in divisional games. They have won two straight games, and this came after dropping four in a row.
At home, the Mariners are 30-18 this season, and they have gone 21-25 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle is 32-24 and 19-19 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are an even 14-14-2 and have lost three straight series at home.
Seattle is 21-25 against the run line on the road this season, and the Mariners are 3-0 against the run line in their last three road games. Their average run margin on the road is -0.4, and they have an overall run line record of 43-51 this season. The Mariners have been the favorite in 56 games this season and are 22-34 against the run line in those contests. In their wins, they have an average run margin of 3.0, while their average run margin in losses is -3.3.
Seattle’s over/under record this season is 39-50, and they’ve played to an average of 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Mariners are 8-2. In 84.4% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs or lower.
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Angels, and he comes into the game with a record of 7-9 and an ERA of 3.72. So far this season, he has made 19 starts, and opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander. In his 19 appearances, Castillo has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.97 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his recent outings, Castillo picked up the win in his last start, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.
Cal Raleigh has had a tough season at the plate for the Mariners, batting just .208, but he has gone 8/31 in his last eight games, including three homers. Raleigh’s 17 home runs are 11th in the league and is the top mark on the team. Mitch Garver has also struggled with a batting average of just .174, but he does have 12 homers, which is 2nd on the team.
As a team, the Mariners are batting just .217, which is the worst mark in the league. Overall, they are 28th in the league in runs per game at 3.8. This is even worse at home, where they are averaging just 3.6 runs per contest.
Angels Records & Stats
Zach Neto and the Angels’s offense is coming off a big game to close out their series vs. the Rangers. Neto went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs. The Angels really broke things open with a four-run 2nd inning. Los Angeles was the +111 underdog at home going into the game.
Griffin Canning got the start for the Angels, going 4 1/3 innings, and giving up just two runs on seven hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the win.
Los Angeles is 4th in the AL West with a record of 38-54, putting them 12 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they are just 9-12 in AL West matchups. The Angels have struggled at home this season, going 19-28, and they are just below .500 at 19-26 on the road.
The Angels lost two of three games in their series vs. the Rangers. This came after taking the first game of the series. Over their last ten games, the Angels are just 2-8, and they have dropped three straight series. As the underdog, the Angels are 34-47 compared to 4-7 when favored. Their overall series record is 8-20-2 this year.
While the Angels are 51-41 against the run line overall, they are just 3-8 as the favorite. They are 48-33 as the underdog, and their average run differential in those games is -0.9. They are 26-21 against the run line at home, and their average run differential in those games is -0.8. Their current run line win streak at home is at two games.
The Los Angeles Angels are at home today against the Seattle Mariners with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Angels have played in 24 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 21-19. Their average combined run average this season is 9.0 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 46-43.
The Angels will be sending Jack Kochanowicz to the mound today against the Mariners. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.
Los Angeles comes into the game with the league’s 11th best home run total, but they are just 24th in runs per game at 4.1. As a team, they are batting just .236, which is 14th in the MLB. However, they do have four players with at least 12 homers, including Taylor Ward, Logan O’Hoppe, Jo Adell, and Zach Neto.
Over his last eight games, Logan O’Hoppe is hitting .345 with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .283 with a team-high 42 RBIs. Luis Rengifo has been the team’s best overall hitter, batting .315 with six homers and 25 RBIs.