Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 7/11/24

The Marlins and Astros are set to square off in an interleague matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Thursday. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -199. The money line odds for a Marlins win are currently at +165, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak.

Thursday’s pitching matchup features Roddery Munoz for the Marlins and Jake Bloss for the Astros. Munoz has a record of 32-60, while the Astros have gone 48-44 overall. Houston is currently second in the AL West.

MIAMI MARLINS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Thursday, July 11th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Houston cruised to a 9-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -227 on the money line.

Framber Valdez pitched well for the Astros in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts and picked up a win. On the other side, Bryan Hoeing only went three innings for the Marlins, giving up four runs on eight hits.

Joey Loperfido and Yainer Diaz each had two hits and three RBIs for the Astros’ offense. Alex Bregman also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. As for the Marlins, Xavier Edwards went 2/3 with an RBI.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 32-60 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 28 games in the division. The Marlins have dropped two straight games and are 7-19 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have gone just 14-29 on the road compared to 18-31 at home.

As the road underdog, the Marlins are 14-29 this season, and they are 4-13 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 8-19-2, and they are losing this series vs. the Astros 0-2.

When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a better bet on the road this season, going 22-21 compared to 19-30 at home. Miami has an average run margin of -1.6 runs per game this season, and they have covered the run line in 41 of their 92 games. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 39-36 on the run line, compared to just 2-15 as the favorite.

The Miami Marlins are on the road today, facing the Houston Astros. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for Marlins games this season. Miami’s over/under record on the season is 48-42, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins have gone 15-15 on the over/under. So far this season, 13 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 14.1% of their games.

Miami is sending right-hander Roddery Muñoz to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 8 starts this season and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 5.48. Muñoz’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.47. In his 8 starts, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 8.12 strikeouts per nine innings. Muñoz’s last outing came out of the bullpen, where he went four innings and gave up two earned runs on four hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 2.9 runs per contest. Miami is also dead last in the league in home runs and have the worst team OPS in the majors. As a team, they are batting just .230.

Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 15 home runs is 13th in the league. He also leads the team with 43 RBIs. De La Cruz is batting .241 overall. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is batting .256 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 11 homers. Over his last five games, Jesús Sánchez has two homers and is hitting .250.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston is 48-44 overall and trails the Mariners by two games for the AL West lead. The Astros have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10. So far, they have gone 15-12 in divisional games.

At home, the Astros are 26-19 this year and 22-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 36-32 and 12-12 as the underdog. Houston has won eight straight games at home as the favorite, and their overall series record is 16-12-1 this year.

The Astros have been a solid run line bet this season, going 47-45 overall. They’ve been a better bet at home, going 23-22, compared to 24-23 on the road. Houston has been favored in 68 games and has gone 32-36 on the run line in those contests. They’ve been a run line underdog just 24 times and have gone 15-9 in those games.

The Houston Astros are playing at home against the Miami Marlins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 36-52. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-17. Overall, 35.9% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, with 33 games having higher lines and 32 games having lower lines.

Jake Bloss will be making his second start of the season for the Astros, as he will be taking on the Miami Marlins at home. In his first start of the season, Bloss went 3 2/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs on 6 hits. He struck out 2 batters and did not allow a home run.

So far this season, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the majors, batting a collective .264. They also have the best team on-base percentage and are 6th in slugging. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. At home, they are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Jose Altuve comes into the game on an 8-game hitting streak and is batting .309 for the season with 13 homers. Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are both tied for the team lead with 19 homers. Over his last six games, Alex Bregman is 10/25 with two homers and eight RBIs.