Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24
At 8:10 PM ET, the Mariners and Astros will face off in an AL West matchup. Tuesday’s matchup is taking place at Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Astros are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -135. The money line odds for a Mariners win are currently at +115, and the over/under line is at 7 runs.
Seattle comes in with a record of 81-76, while the Astros are 85-72. Framber Valdez will start for the Astros, while the Mariners are sending Logan Gilbert to the mound. RSNW will be televising Tuesday’s game.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -135
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Tuesday, September 24th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Seattle cruised to a 6-1 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were the slight underdogs at +110.
Julio Rodriguez was the Mariners’ top hitter, going 3/5 with an RBI. Victor Robles and Randy Arozarena each had two hits and an RBI. Cal Raleigh also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Bryce Miller pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Hunter Brown had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 81-76 overall, putting them four games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners took the first game of this series vs. the Astros and have an overall division record of 28-19. Seattle has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 35-44 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Mariners are 58-48 and 23-28 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 21-24-4 and they have won two straight series on the road. Over the last 10 games, the Mariners are 7-3.
Seattle has been a solid run line team this season, going 68-89. They have been slightly better on the run line at home, going 33-45, compared to 35-44 on the road. As an underdog, they have been profitable on the run line, going 26-25. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1. They have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog.
The Mariners are on the road against the Astros today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Seattle’s games this season is 7.9, and their over/under record is 74-74. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 7 runs is 17-20-7. In 63.7% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at more than 7 runs.
Right-hander Logan Gilbert is starting for the Mariners today as he faces the Astros on the road. Gilbert has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 8-11 with a 3.24 ERA. This year, opponents are batting .192 off Gilbert, and he has a WHIP of .90. In his last outing, Gilbert picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Gilbert has one complete game shutout this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.46 strikeouts.
Julio Rodríguez has been on a tear of late for the Mariners, hitting .410 over his last eight games with three homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .275 with 19 home runs and 65 RBIs, which is 2nd on the team. Catcher Cal Raleigh has a team-high 96 RBIs and 31 homers but is batting just .216 this season.
Overall, the Mariners are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .224 and have the worst strikeout numbers in the league.
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros are 85-72 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by four games over the Mariners. Houston has dropped two straight games, with the most recent coming in the series opener vs. Seattle. So far, they are 28-22 in divisional games.
At home, the Astros are 45-34 this season, and they are above .500 on the road at 40-38. As the favorite, the Astros are 66-51 this year and 19-21 when they are the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 27-20-2.
When playing at home, the Astros have a run line record of 38-41, with an average run differential of +1.0 runs per game. They have gone 55-62 against the run line as the favorite, while going 26-14 as the underdog. Their run line record overall is 81-76, with an average run differential of +0.6 runs per game.
With a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game, the Houston Astros have seen a majority of their games go over the total this season, as their over/under record stands at 64-88. In fact, 96.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 7 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is just 1-4. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season.
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today and comes in with a record of 14-7 and an ERA of 2.85. This year, he has made 27 starts, and opponents are batting .214 off the left-hander. Valdez has turned in 17 quality starts and one complete game this year. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Padres, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Valdez has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 8-2 and an ERA of 2.85 compared to 6-5 with a 3.78 ERA on the road.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ most dangerous hitter this season, as he is 7th in the league with 35 home runs and is batting .308. Alvarez also leads the team with 86 RBIs. Alex Bregman has also been a big power threat for the Astros, as his 25 homers is 2nd on the team. Bregman has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/20 with two homers over his last five games.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and are 10th in runs scored (4.6 per game). Houston has been especially good at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league, coming in 7th in the league.