Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24
At 7:40 PM ET, the Marlins and Twins will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is taking place at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Marlins are 57-99 compared to the Twins at 81-75. Miami is starting Ryan Weathers, while Bailey Ober is on the mound for the Twins.
Minnesota comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -243, while the Marlins are sitting at +203. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and this game will be televised on BSFL. Miami is 5th in the NL East, while the Twins are 4th in the AL Central.
MIAMI MARLINS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8 Runs
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, September 24th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Marlins Records & Stats
The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Braves scored two runs in the top of the 8th. Miami was the +166 underdog at home going into the game.
Darren McCaughan got the start for the Marlins, going four innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out five. However, the Marlins couldn’t close things out, and Declan Cronin took the loss out of the bullpen. The Marlins also wasted a big game from Jake Burger, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.
Miami is 57-99 overall and trail the Phillies by 35.5 games in the NL East. The Marlins have gone just 18-34 against other teams in the division. They are on a two-game losing streak, dropping two of three in their series vs. the Braves.
At home, the Marlins are just 30-51 this year and are 27-48 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 53-85 this year, and they are just 4-14 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Marlins are 11-30-9 and have dropped four straight series.
When the Marlins are the underdog, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 71-67. They have been outscored by an average of 1.4 runs per game this season, and their run line record is 73-83. They have been outscored by an average of 1.0 runs per game on the road, but their run line record is 38-37. Miami has been a poor bet against the run line when favored, going just 2-16.
The Miami Marlins are on the road to face the Minnesota Twins today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 9.1 runs. The Marlins have an over/under record of 82-68 this season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 18-12-2. Overall, 55.1% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8 runs or higher, while 24.4% have had lines set lower than 8 runs.
Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with a 3.94 ERA. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his 14 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Weathers most recently faced the Dodgers, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had not allowed more than two earned runs in three straight starts.
Over his last eight games, Jake Burger has gone 8/29 with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-high 28 homers and 69 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is also a big power threat for the Marlins, as he has 18 homers and is batting .247. Sánchez is also 2nd on the team with 63 RBIs.
As a team, the Marlins are 28th in scoring at just 3.8 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .241, which is 14th in the league, but their on-base percentage of .297 is one of the worst marks in the league.
Twins Records & Stats
The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 9-3 loss. Minnesota was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Red Sox scored six times in the 2nd.
Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Twins scored their only three runs in the3rd inning. Trevor Larnach and Christian Vazquez each had two hits. Larnach also scored a run and drove in one.
Minnesota comes into today’s game vs. the Marlins with an overall record of 81-75, which has them 4th in the AL Central. Currently, they trail the Guardians by 8.5 games in the AL Central standings. The Twins lost two straight games to the Red Sox and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Twins are 42-33 this season and 39-42 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 64-45 this year and 17-30 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-20-4, and they have dropped three straight series.
When betting the run line on the Twins this season, you should consider that they have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 40-41 compared to 32-43. They have also been a better bet as the underdog than the favorite, going 25-22 compared to 47-62. The average run margin in their games this season is just 0.1 runs per game.
The Twins are at home today against the Marlins, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-71. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-21-5. The over has hit in two straight games for the Twins.
Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with an ERA of 3.84. Opposing batters are hitting .200 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of .97. Ober’s last outing came on September 18th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. This season, he has allowed 25 homers.
Carlos Santana has been a key power bat for the Twins this season, leading the team with 22 home runs and 65 RBIs. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .182 over his last eight games. Willi Castro has also been a solid run producer, batting .249 with 59 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 10th in the league in terms of team batting average. They have been a good home run hitting club this season and are near the top of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. Currently, both Byron Buxton and Matt Wallner are on three-game hitting streaks.