Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/31/24
Wednesday’s matchup between the Mariners and Red Sox is set to get started at 4:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The Red Sox are 56-50 this season, while the Mariners are 57-52. Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, and the Mariners are going with George Kirby.
Seattle is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -120 compared to the Red Sox at +102. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and RSNW is carrying this game on TV.
BOSTON RED SOX VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline +102
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 4:10 ET on Wednesday, July 31st.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Seattle cruised to a 10-6 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored three of their six runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -116.
Luis Castillo got the win for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and allowed one home run. James Paxton had a rough outing for the Red Sox, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Jorge Polanco and Dylan Moore each had two hits and three RBIs for the Mariners’ offense. Victor Robles also had a two-hit game and scored three times. As for the Red Sox, Rafael Devers went 3/5 with a home run and four RBIs.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle currently leads the AL West by one game over the Astros, and they are 57-52 overall. The Mariners will be on the road today vs. the Red Sox, and they are 26-29 on the road this year. They have been good at home, going 31-23.
The Mariners have an overall series record of 15-17-2 this season, and they have dropped five straight series at home. As the road favorite, the Mariners are 14-14 this year, and they are 38-32 when favored overall. Seattle has won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
Seattle has been a good bet against the run line when they are the underdog, going 21-18. Their overall run line record is 49-60, with a run line record of 26-29 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2.
The Seattle Mariners are on the road in Boston today, where the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-57. The Mariners have had just one game this season with an over/under line set at 9.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last five games.
So far this season, George Kirby has made 22 starts, and he has a record of 8-7 and an ERA of 3.03. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently .98. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in 15 quality starts. Looking at his numbers, Kirby has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 3.78. At home, he is 5-2 with a 3.30 ERA. The last time he took the mound, Kirby didn’t allow a run, picking up the win vs. the White Sox. He went seven innings in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
For the season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .219 and are the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts per game. However, they do have a good team walk rate and are 10th in the league in home runs.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ top power threat this season, as his 23 home runs are 8th in the league. He also leads the team with 67 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez is batting .263 with 11 homers, and Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team with 16 homers, but he is batting just .219 for the season. Arozarena does come into the game on a four-game hitting streak, and over his last nine games, he has gone 13/38.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is seven games behind the Orioles in the AL East, and they are 56-50 overall this season. The Red Sox will take on the Mariners today, and they are 26-28 at home. This year, they have been good on the road, going 30-22.
The Red Sox have dropped three straight series, and their overall series record is 16-13-5. Boston is 24-28 as the underdog this season and 32-22 when favored. As the underdog at home, the Red Sox are 8-11 this year. Boston is also just 3-7 over their last ten games and are 1-1 in this series vs. the Mariners.
When the Red Sox are favored, they are just 20-34 against the run line at home, but 29-23 on the road. They are 2-0 against the run line in their last two games as the favorite.
The Red Sox have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their combined run average sitting at 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 53-47, and their games have averaged nine runs per contest. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, they have gone 7-7 in those games. Boston has seen the over hit in six straight games.
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces off against the Mariners. This year, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 10-5 with an ERA of 5.28. Bello’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.44. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.58 strikeouts per nine innings. Bello’s last outing came vs. the Yankees, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. He has not taken a loss in his last three outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox have been one of the top offensive teams in the league, as they are 5th in runs per game (4.9) and are 3rd in team batting average (.260). They have also been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s best isolated power mark. As a team, the Red Sox have been tough to strike out, as they are 27th in the league in strikeouts.
Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 24 homers are 7th in the league and the most on the Red Sox. Devers has also been red hot of late, going 12/23 in his last six games with five RBIs. He also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. Tyler O’Neill has two homers in his last five games and is 2nd on the team with 22 homers.