Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 7/31/24

At 3:40 PM ET, the Nationals and Diamondbacks square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -183. The Nationals have lost three straight and are 4th in the NL East with a record of 49-59. LHP MacKenzie Gore is starting for the Nationals, and the Diamondbacks are going with Zac Gallen.

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this one. Washington is +154 on the money line compared to the Diamondbacks at -183. Arizona comes in with a record of 57-51 and have won two straight.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Chase Field at 3:40 ET on Wednesday, July 31st.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Thanks to a seven-run 2nd inning for the Diamondbacks’ offense, they cruised to a 17-0 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -169 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Patrick Corbin for the Nationals, and he went just three innings while giving up 10 runs and took the loss. Ryne Nelson put together a good outing for the Diamondbacks, getting the win after going seven innings and not giving up a run.

Eugenio Suarez was the big hitter for the Diamondbacks, as he went 4/6 with three homers and five RBIs. Suarez was one of four Diamondbacks hitters to have a multi-hit game.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Diamondbacks, as they have dropped three straight games overall. Currently, they are 4th in the NL East, 16.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are 16-15 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Nationals are 23-27 this season compared to 26-32 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 39-50 this season, and they are 10-9 when favored. Washington’s overall record is 49-59.

The Nationals have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 61-47 overall. They are 34-24 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.4 runs per game. As the underdog, Washington is 52-37 on the run line.

The Washington Nationals are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.0 runs per game. The Nationals have a 53-51 over/under record this season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 16-17. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and 36.1% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or lower. Their current over streak is at 2 games.

Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-8 with an ERA of 4.51. Gore’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.50. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Cardinals. Looking back further, Gore has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. He has allowed at least three earned runs in each of his last four starts. Gore’s ERA at home is 5.5 compared to 4.83 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the MLB. However, they are dead last in the league in home runs and are near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, with 15 and 11 home runs, respectively. Abrams also leads the team with 51 RBIs. In his last two games, Alex Call has gone 3/5 with a home run and three RBIs. Juan Yepez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/28 over his last seven games.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 57-51 overall, and they trail the Padres by a half-game for the second spot in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are also six games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. Arizona has gone 19-14 against other teams in the NL West this year.

The Diamondbacks have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10. At home, Arizona is 30-25 this season and 27-26 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 50 games, going 30-20 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 27-31 this year.

When the Diamondbacks are favored, they are just 21-29 on the run line this season. However, they have been a solid bet when they are the underdog, going 35-23. Their average run differential in their wins is +4.3, while it’s -4.0 in their losses.

Arizona has been a strong over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.8 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have gone over the total in 58 of their 105 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9 runs per game. The over is currently on a four-game streak for Arizona.

Zac Gallen will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Pirates. In that July 26th start, he went 6 innings, giving up 3 earned runs, and 3 home runs. Looking back further, Gallen has allowed at least one homer in four straight starts. Gallen’s ERA for the season is 3.70, along with a record of 8-5. Opponents are batting .235 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has made eight quality starts and is averaging 8.83 strikeouts per nine innings.

Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the MLB this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as they are 12th in home runs and have the 4th best team batting average in the league.

Over the team’s last eight games, Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suarez have been on fire, with Marte batting .481 and Suarez hitting .367. Both players have also hit five home runs during this stretch. Marte is the team’s leading hitter for the season, batting .302, and is also the team’s leader in home runs and RBIs.