Planning on watching today's Broncos and Dons game? Catch the action at War Memorial Gymnasium in San Francisco, CA, as the Dons hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this West Coast conference contest is set at 152.5 points, with San Francisco being favored by -7.5 at home against Santa Clara.

SANTA CLARA BRONCOS VS SAN FRANCISCO DONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Santa Clara Broncos +7.5

This game will be played at War Memorial Gymnasium at 10:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.

WHY BET THE SANTA CLARA BRONCOS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Dons.
  • Even though we have San Francisco winning straight-up, we like Santa Clara at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will the Broncos Come Through as Road Underdogs?

For Santa Clara, they are coming off a loss to San Diego by a score of 70-59. Over their last ten games, they have gone 6-4 on the road, and they are 5-5 this season as the underdog.

On the year, the Broncos have an overall record of 15-9, and they are 6-3 in West Coast Conference play. So far, they have gone 5-3 on the road, and their average scoring margin in these games is +4.1 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Santa Clara has an ATS record of 6-4 and an overall ATS mark of 11-11. On the road, the Broncos are 6-2 vs. the spread and have gone 3-0 in their last 3 road games ATS. Over their last 10 road games, Santa Clara has gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Santa Clara games this season (149.7). Currently, their over/under record is 10-11-1. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points. For the season, their games have finished with more points than today's line in 11 of 22 contests.

Coming off their recent game, the Santa Clara offense tallied 59 points in a matchup against San Diego. Their field goal percentage for the game was 31.8%, and they made 4 threes. The Santa Clara offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.4 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 36% of their looks from outside this season.

On the defensive side, Santa Clara is currently hovering around the NCAA's average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.6 points per game. Santa Clara will look once again to perform well on defense, holding San Diego to just 31% shooting in their most recent game.

Will the Dons Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

San Francisco is 19-6 overall and 8-2 in West Coast games. They have won four straight games, and their average scoring margin at home is +16.8 this season. The Dons are 13-2 at home, and they have gone 18-1 when favored.

In their last game, San Francisco beat Pepperdine by a score of 80-74. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1.

As the favorite, San Francisco has gone 11-8 vs. the spread this season. However, their ATS mark as the favorite has been poor recently, going 0-3 in their last three games and 0-5 in their last five. Their home ATS record this year is 9-6 and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

San Francisco's over/under record this season is 13-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 142.5 points. Today's over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (141.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 159 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 8-2.

The Dons' offense finished with 80 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 79.2 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Jonathan Mogbo with 19 points. Marcus Williams also added 14 points for the Dons.

So far, the Dons' defense is ranked 34th in the country at 65.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, San Francisco's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.0% this season.