San Jose State Spartans vs Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24
At 8:00 ET, truT will be covering the week nine matchup between the San Jose State Spartans and Fresno State Bulldogs. The game will be played at Valley Children’s Stadium in Fresno. The Bulldogs are the -5 point favorites at home, with the over/under line set at 54.5 points. The money line odds are +175 for San Jose State and -210 for Fresno State. San Jose State enters the game with a 5-2 record, while Fresno State is 4-3 on the season.
SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS VS FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Jose State Spartans +5
This game will be played at Valley Children’s Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, October 26th.
WHY BET THE SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS:
- We have the Fresno State Bulldogs winning this one by a score of 25 to 22
- Even though we like the Fresno State Bulldogs to win, our ATS pick is to take the San Jose State Spartans at +5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 54.5 points
Will The San Jose State Spartans Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
San Jose State enters Week 9 against Fresno State with a 5-2 record, ranked 85th in our CFB power rankings. They have an 89.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 1.5% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Spartans are 2-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.
Their average scoring margin is +7.7 points per game, but they are 1-3 against the spread. San Jose State is 0-2 ATS as the favorite and 1-1 as the underdog.
The Spartans’ over/under record is 1-3, with their games averaging 56.6 points. Their average over/under line is 51.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 54.5 points.
Heading into week 9, San Jose State’s offense ranks 34th in points per game, averaging 32.1. They are also 64th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the focal point, as they are 5th in the nation with 330.3 yards per game, and they rank 6th in passing attempts.
Emmett Brown leads the Spartans with 1,555 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 101. Nick Nash, the team’s top receiver, has 904 yards and 11 touchdowns on 72 catches. On the ground, San Jose State averages 101.6 rushing yards per game.
San Jose State’s defense played a key role in their recent 24-14 win over Wyoming, allowing just 14 points. They were particularly strong against the run, giving up only 57 rushing yards on 37 attempts. However, they did allow 310 passing yards but also forced three interceptions.
On the season, San Jose State ranks 50th nationally, giving up 24.4 points per game. Opponents have averaged 153 rushing yards per game on 40.3 attempts, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 63.9, the 10th-lowest in the country, completing 56.2% of their passes.
Are The Fresno State Bulldogs Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Fresno State heads into Week 9 with a 4-3 record and a 1-1 mark at home. They are ranked 81st in our power rankings but have a 95.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 3-0 as the favorite and 0-3 as the underdog.
Their ATS record stands at 3-2-1, and they have a +1.6 average scoring margin this season. Fresno State is 2-0-1 against the spread as the favorite and 1-2 ATS as the underdog.
Fresno State’s over/under record is 2-4, with their games averaging 54.7 points. The average line has been 52.5 points, and this week’s total is set at 54.5 points.
Fresno State’s offense is averaging 28.1 points per game, ranking 54th nationally, and they are 98th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. Mikey Keene has thrown for 1,766 yards with a passer rating of 85, and the Bulldogs rank 23rd in completions per game, averaging 21.7. They are 36th in passing attempts per game and 38th in passing yards, with 259.3 yards per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 36%, and they are 101st in rushing, averaging 116.1 yards per game.
Keene has thrown eight touchdowns and nine interceptions this season. Elijah Gilliam leads the rushing attack with 361 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Mac Dalena is the leading receiver with 607 yards and four touchdowns on 30 catches.
Fresno State’s defense has allowed 26.6 points per game this season, ranking 61st nationally. They’ve given up an average of 208.3 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 58.3% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 80.4. On the ground, Fresno State has allowed 135.9 rushing yards per game.
In their recent game against Nevada, Fresno State’s defense allowed 21 points, giving up 295 total yards. They limited Nevada to 84 rushing yards on 39 carries, while allowing 211 passing yards.