New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24

At 5:00 ET, the Colorado State Rams will host the New Mexico Lobos at Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins on Saturday, October 26th. The game is being broadcast on MWN, and the Rams are the -6-point favorites at home. The over/under line is currently set at 65.5 points, with both teams having four wins and three losses this season.

NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS COLORADO STATE RAMS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Mexico Lobos +6

This game will be played at Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium at 5:00 ET on Saturday, October 26th.

WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO LOBOS:

• We have the New Mexico Lobos winning this one by a score of 34 to 28
• Not only do we have the New Mexico Lobos winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6
• We see this game finishing below the line of 65.5 points

Will The New Mexico Lobos Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

New Mexico enters Week 9 with a 3-4 record, ranked 113th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 34.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, the Lobos are 2-2, while they are 1-1 at home this season.

The Lobos are 4-2 against the spread, with a 3-1 record on the road. They’ve gone 3-0 ATS as favorites and have an average scoring margin of -5.6 points per game.

Their over/under record is 5-1, with an average margin of +21.6 points. New Mexico’s games have averaged 80.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 65.5 points.

New Mexico’s offense is averaging 37.4 points per game, placing them 20th in the nation, and they are ranked 22nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. Their rushing attack is their strength, with 220.3 yards per game, ranking 11th nationally. Eli Sanders leads the team with 386 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and he has scored four touchdowns.

Quarterback Devon Dampier has thrown for 1,760 yards, and the Lobos are averaging 251.4 passing yards per game. Dampier has nine touchdowns but also nine interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 78. Luke Wysong has 663 receiving yards on 50 catches but has only one touchdown this season. New Mexico ranks 18th in third-down conversions, converting 46.6% of their attempts.

New Mexico’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 43 points per game, including 45 points in their recent 50-45 win over Utah State. They gave up 503 total yards, with 360 passing yards, though they did manage to force one interception.

Opponents have averaged 240.9 rushing yards per game against New Mexico, while quarterbacks have posted a 113.5 passer rating, completing 63.1% of their passes for an average of 258.9 yards per game.

Are The Colorado State Rams Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Colorado State enters Week 9 with a 4-3 record and an 85.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 103rd in our power rankings. At home, the Rams are 2-1, and they’ve gone 1-1 on the road this season.

They’ve been favored in three of their seven games, going 3-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -4.7 points per game, and they are 3-2 against the spread this season.

The over/under line for this week is 65.5 points, the highest they’ve faced this season. Colorado State’s over/under record is 0-5, with their games averaging 49.6 points and an average line of 52.8 points.

Heading into week 9, Colorado State’s offense ranks 90th in our power rankings, averaging 22.4 points per game. They are 42nd in rushing, with 181.6 yards per game, and 36th in rushing attempts. Avery Morrow leads the ground game with 622 yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry.

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has thrown for 1,312 yards, completing 62.6% of his passes, with six touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83. Colorado State is 49th in passing completions nationally. Tory Horton has 353 receiving yards and one touchdown.

Colorado State’s defense is allowing 27.1 points per game this season, ranking 63rd nationally. They’ve given up 257.3 passing yards per game, which is 139th in the country, and 140.1 rushing yards per game.

In their recent game against Air Force, Colorado State’s defense allowed just 13 points. They gave up 348 total yards, including 173 rushing yards on 53 attempts and 175 passing yards, while also forcing two interceptions.