The Dons and Gaels are set to face off at 11:00 ET on ESPN2. The Gaels will host the game at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA. This West Coast conference matchup has an over/under of 133 points, and Saint Mary's is favored to win by -7 at home vs. San Francisco.


The Pick: Saint Mary's Gaels -7

This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion at 11:00 ET on Tuesday, February 20th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Gaels.
  • Not only will Saint Mary's pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 133 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will the Dons Win in Moraga?

San Francisco heads into tonight's game as a 7-point underdog. They have gone 0-5 in their five games as the underdog this season. Overall, the Dons are 21-6, and they are currently riding a six-game win streak. They have gone 10-2 in West Coast Conference play.

On the road, San Francisco has gone 6-4 this season, and they have won their last three games away from home. For the year, they have an average scoring margin of +5.6 on the road. In their most recent game, the Dons defeated Loyola Marymount by a score of 82-59.

As the underdog this season, San Francisco has an ATS record of 3-2. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-4 and they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three road games. For the year, the Dons are 15-11 vs. the spread.

San Francisco's over/under record this season is 13-13 and today's line of 133 is lower than the average OU line in their games (141.8). So far, 20 of their games have finished with more points than 133. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average of 144 points scored.

In their previous game, the Dons' offense finished with 82 points, which is right in line with their current average of 79 points per contest. Jonathan Mogbo is leading the team in scoring at 15.2 points per contest. Marcus Williams has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.7 going into the game.

So far, the Dons' defense is ranked 29th in the country at 65.2 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Loyola Marymount, the Lions finished with a field goal percentage of 39% and a total of 59 points vs. San Francisco.

Will the Gaels Make it Happen at Home?

At home this season, Saint Mary's has gone 11-6, and they have won their last six games at home. On the year, the Gaels have gone 21-6, and they have won 13 straight games. In their most recent game, they defeated Pepperdine by a score of 103-59.

For the season, Saint Mary's has been favored in 23 of their 27 games, and their record as the favorite is 17-6. As the favorite, their average scoring margin is +14.0 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Saint Mary's has an ATS record of 11-12. Their overall ATS mark is 14-12. In their last three games at home, the Gaels have gone 1-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Saint Mary's has an ATS record of 6-4.

Today's over/under line of 133 is similar to the average over/under line in Saint Mary's games this season (132.8). Currently, their over/under record is 13-13. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and over their last 10 games, the OU record is 5-5. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today's line of 133.

Saint Mary's' offense is coming off a good game, putting up 103 points vs. Pepperdine. Overall, they hit 61.8% of their shots from the field and went 7/8 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Gaels hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 109th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 228th in terms of percentage and 177th in three-pointers made.

The Gaels' defense is presently ranked 2nd nationally, allowing an average of 57.7 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.8 threes per game vs. San Francisco. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.5%.