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Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Aztecs and Wolf Pack. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on CBSS, and it's hosted by the Wolf Pack at Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 140.5 points, and Nevada is favored by -1.5 to win at home against San Diego State.

SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS VS NEVADA WOLF PACK BETTING PICK

The Pick: Nevada Wolf Pack -1.5

This game will be played at Lawlor Events Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, February 9th.

WHY BET THE NEVADA WOLF PACK:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Wolf Pack.
  • Not only will Nevada pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will San Diego State Come Through as Road Underdogs?

San Diego State is coming off a 77-64 win over Air Force, and they have now won two straight games. On the road, the Aztecs have gone 5-5 this season, and over their last 10 road games, they are 5-5.

For the season, San Diego State has an 18-5 record, and they are 7-3 in Mountain West Conference play. In their 23 games, they have been the underdog five times, going 2-3.

San Diego State has an ATS record of 9-12 this season and they are 3-7 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Aztecs have gone 2-3 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 ATS mark as the underdog is 5-5.

On the season, the over/under record for San Diego State games is 13-8 and today's line of 140.5 is right around the average over/under line of 141 for their games. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points and the over/under record in their last 10 games is 6-4.

In their previous game, the Aztecs' offense finished with 77 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.3 points per contest. Reese Waters led the scoring for the Aztecs, contributing 15 points. Additionally, Jaedon LeDee chipped in with 14 points.

This season, the San Diego State defense has been impressive, holding the 63rd position in the country while permitting an average of 67.2 points per contest. In their most recent game, the San Diego State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Air Force knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 64 points.

Can the Wolf Pack Hold Strong at Home?

After a 77-63 win over Utah State, Nevada has a record of 18-5 this season. They have won two straight games and have gone 5-4 in Mountain West play compared to 13-1 in non-conference games.

At home, the Wolf Pack are 11-1 this season, and they have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games at home. For the year, they have been favored in 18 games, going 15-3.

As the favorite this season, Nevada has gone 11-7 against the spread. Their overall ATS record is 14-9. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wolf Pack have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. At home, Nevada's ATS mark is 7-5 this year and over their last 10 home games, they are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Nevada's games this season (143.7). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 144 points.

In their previous game, the Wolf Pack's offense finished with 77 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.6 points per contest. Offensively, the Wolf Pack hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 91st in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 211st in terms of percentage and 310th in three-pointers made.

In the current season, the Nevada defense has excelled, sitting 43rd in the nation by allowing 66.1 points per game. In their previous game vs. Utah State, the Aggies finished with a field goal percentage of 39% and a total of 63 points vs. Nevada.