San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/17/24

From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have the Padres and Phillies facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 6:40 PM ET, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line at -178. The money line odds for a Padres win are sitting at +150, and the over/under line is currently 9.5 runs.

San Diego is currently on a three-game losing streak, and they are 37-38 overall. The Phillies are 47-24 and have won two straight. Cristopher Sanchez is starting for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Randy Vasquez for the Padres.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -178

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, June 17th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Padres Records & Stats

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with an 11-6 loss. San Diego was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Mets scored four times in the first.

Dylan Cease took the loss for the Padres, going only 3 2/3 innings, and giving up seven earned runs. Luis Campusano was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a double, a run scored, and an RBI.

San Diego is on the road today, facing the Phillies with an overall record of 37-38. The Padres are 8.0 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead and are in 2nd place in the division. So far, they are 14-15 in divisional matchups.

The Padres have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak comes after losing the final game of their series vs. the Reds. At home, the Padres are 18-21 this year and have gone 19-17 on the road. San Diego’s record as the underdog is 13-15, and they are 24-23 when favored.

San Diego has been a profitable team to back on the run line this season, going 38-37 overall. The Padres have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 25-11. They have a positive run differential on the road this season, averaging 0.9 more runs per game than their opponents.

San Diego is on the road in Philadelphia today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Padres have played to an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-37. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over the total in four of five games. However, only 4% of their games this season have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs or higher.

Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 4.93. Vásquez’s WHIP for the season is 1.51, and opponents are batting .307 this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight outings. Vásquez has made two quality starts this year. His ERA at home is 4.98 compared to 6.37 on the road.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .259. They also have the league’s top on-base percentage and have been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams. Overall, the Padres are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.1 runs per contest, while they are averaging 4.8 runs per game on the road.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth come into today’s game with 10 home runs apiece, which is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. Profar’s 46 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 10th best in the MLB. Luis Arraez and Jurickson Profar have also been swinging the bat well of late, with both players having gone deep four times in their last seven games.

Phillies Records & Stats

The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with an 8-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Orioles scored eight runs in the 4th to put things out of reach. Philadelphia was the +116 underdog on the road going into the game.

Zack Wheeler took the loss, going only 4 1/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs on nine hits. Alec Bohm was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored and two RBIs.

Philadelphia is 47-24 overall and leads the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies are coming off back-to-back losses and dropped two of three in their series vs. the Orioles. So far, they have gone 12-6 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Phillies are 27-10 this season and have gone 20-14 on the road. This year, the Phillies have been favored in 59 of their games, and they are 41-18 in those matchups. As the home favorite, the Phillies are 26-8 this year, and their overall series record is 14-7-4.

The Phillies have been a solid run line bet this season, going 38-33 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 20-17. They have been favored in 59 games, going 32-27 in those contests. They have a run line losing streak when favored of two games. They have an average run margin of +1.4 runs per game this season.

While the Phillies have a combined run average of 8.6, their over/under record is just 31-35 this season. Their average over/under line is 8 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 0-3. Only 5.6% of their games have had lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and the under has hit in 90.1% of their games this season.

Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez has made 13 starts this year, and he has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 3.07. Sánchez most recently faced the Red Sox, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back over his last four starts, Sánchez has finished with a no-decision in three of them. Opponents are batting .264 off Sánchez this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.39. Sánchez has turned in six quality starts this year.

Philadelphia comes into today’s game as the 3rd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .252, which is 6th in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in walks, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Over his last 10 games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 13/40 with three homers and eight RBIs.

So far, Alec Bohm has been the Phillies’ most consistent run producer, as his 57 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 3rd best in the league. He is also batting .302 for the season. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been the team’s top power threats, with Harper’s 15 homers leading the team and Schwarber right behind him with 14. Harper is also 10th in the league with 46 RBIs.