Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 6/17/24

Paul Skenes and the Pirates will host the Reds today in Pittsburgh, with the game getting started at 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park. The money line odds have the Pirates favored at -197, while the Reds are sitting at +166. The over/under line is at 8 runs.

Cincinnati will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 34-37 and 4th in the NL Central. The Pirates are also 34-37, and Paul Skenes is starting for them. The Reds are starting Carson Spiers. This game will be televised on BSOH.

CINCINNATI REDS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8 Runs

This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, June 17th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS PIRATES:

• We have the Pirates winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Reds Records & Stats

The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Brewers scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Cincinnati was the +128 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

Frankie Montas had a good start for the Reds, going five innings and giving up just three earned runs, and striking out five. However, the Cincinnati bullpen couldn’t close things out, and Lucas Sims took the loss out of the bullpen. The Reds also wasted a big game from Elly De La Cruz, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/3.

Cincinnati is on the road today vs. the Pirates, and they are looking to pick up a win to get back to .500, as they are 34-37 overall. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, and they are eight games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 8-8 in divisional games.

The Reds lost the final two games of their series vs. the Brewers, dropping the series 2-1. As the underdog, Cincinnati has gone 16-24 this year, and they are 18-13 as the favorite. They have an overall series record of 8-13-2 this year.

The Reds are 23-11 against the run line on the road this season, and their average run margin in those games is +0.7. Their overall run line record is 38-33, and their average run margin for the season is +0.2 runs per game. They have been the underdog in 40 games and have gone 23-17 against the run line in those contests.

Today’s over/under line for the Cincinnati Reds’ game against the Pittsburgh Pirates is set at 8 runs. The Reds have seen a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 8.4 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 31-37, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Reds have gone 3-5 on the over/under. Overall, 67.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Carson Spiers has been used out of the bullpen in each of his first four appearances this season. He has yet to record a decision, but has been solid, as he has not allowed more than one earned run in any outing. Spiers’ last appearance was on June 9th, where he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 7 batters.

Jeimer Candelario has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, going 12/35 with four homers and 10 RBIs over his last nine games. This has helped him move into a tie with Elly De La Cruz for the team lead in homers at 12. De La Cruz comes into the game batting just .235, but his 31 RBIs are 3rd on the team. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, with eight homers, and his 42 RBIs are the best mark on the team.

Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, and they have been a better offensive team on the road this season. As a team, they are batting just .226, which is 19th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .307 is also below the league average.

Pirates Records & Stats

The Pirates’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with an 8-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Rockies in the bottom of the first, the Pirates responded with a run of their own and added another four runs in the 2nd inning. Pittsburgh went on to close out the 8-2 win with three more runs in the 6th.

Josh Fleming put together a good start for the Pirates, going four innings and not giving up a run. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Pittsburgh’s offense was carried by Rowdy Tellez, who went 3/5 with two RBIs.

The Pirates are 34-37 overall and trail the Brewers by eight games in the NL Central. So far, they are 8-9 in divisional matchups. Pittsburgh will host the Reds today with an overall record of 16-17 at home compared to 18-20 on the road.

Pittsburgh won the final two games of their series vs. the Rockies to take the series 2-1. Heading into today’s game, they are 5-5 over their last 10. This year, the Pirates have struggled as the favorite, going 12-17, and they are just 6-11 as the home favorite. Their overall series record is 9-10-4 this year.

The Pirates have been a solid run line bet this season, going 39-32. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 22-16 on the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 29-13 on the run line. Overall, they have an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing the Cincinnati Reds at home today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Pirates games this season is 8.6 runs per game. Their O/U record for the season is 35-35, and their average O/U line is set at 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 9-10. So far this season, 45.1% of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs, while 28.2% have had lower lines.

Through six starts, Paul Skenes has a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 2.43 for the Pirates. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Cardinals, Skenes went 6 1/3 innings, giving up five hits and issuing zero walks. Skenes’ ERA at home is 4.55 compared to 1.0 on the road. Opponents are batting .211 off the right-hander this season, and he has a strikeout rate of 12.42 per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, Bryan Reynolds has been on a tear for the Pirates, going 14/42 in his last 10 games, with six runs scored and four RBIs. Reynolds is also on a 14-game hitting streak. Andrew McCutchen has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/34 in his last eight games, including two home runs. McCutchen is also on a three-game hitting streak.

For the season, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .232 and are 19th in home runs. Pittsburgh’s most common home run threats are McCutchen, Bryan Reynolds, and Oneil Cruz, who all have nine homers this season.