San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 6/15/24
First pitch for Saturday’s Padres vs. Mets matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York. The forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Jose Quintana will be starting for the Mets, and the Padres are starting Adam Mazur.
New York is currently on a three-game winning streak, and they are favored on the money line today at -118. The Padres have a record of 37-36 and are +100 on the money line. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline +100
This game will be played at Citi Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 15th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS METS:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
New York picked up a 2-1 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run 3rd inning, and the Padres scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -115 on the money line.
Sean Manaea got the win for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. Edwin Diaz closed things out for New York. Matt Waldron had a good outing for the Padres in the loss, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work.
Brandon Nimmo went 2/3 with a run scored for the Mets, while J.D. Martinez also had an RBI single. Jackson Merrill hit the game’s only home run and went 1/3 for San Diego.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 37-36 overall this season, and they are seven games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres lost the first game of this series vs. the Mets and are 14-15 in divisional games this year. So far, they have been just below .500 both at home (18-21) and on the road (19-15).
As the underdog, the Padres have dropped two straight, and they are 11-8 as the road underdog this year. San Diego’s overall series record is 13-8-3 heading into today’s game, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
San Diego is 25-9 against the run line on the road this season, and its average scoring margin in those games is +1.3 runs per game. The Padres have covered the run line in four straight games as an underdog and are 19-8 against the run line in that role this season.
The Padres are on the road against the Mets with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. Their combined run average is 8.6, and their over/under record is 36-36. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5, their record is 8-8. So far this season, 61.6% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Adam Mazur and the Padres are on the road to take on the Mets. In his first start of the season, Mazur went 6 innings, giving up just 1 earned run on 2 hits. He took a loss in his last outing, going 3 innings and giving up 8 runs on 8 hits.
As a team, the Padres are batting a league-best .261 and are also 1st in on-base percentage and 7th in slugging. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season. San Diego is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 11th in the league, and are even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.
Over his last seven games, Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting just .214, but he has three home runs during that stretch and has scored seven runs. Overall, he is batting .276 with 13 homers. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both among the league leaders in home runs and are also the Padres top two RBI men. Profar’s 45 RBIs are 10th best in the MLB.
Mets Records & Stats
With a record of 31-37, the Mets are 4th in the NL East, sitting 15.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Mets have won three straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games. New York took the first game of this series vs. the Padres.
At home, the Mets are 16-23 this year compared to 15-14 on the road. As the home favorite, the Mets are 13-13 this year and 18-17 as the underdog. The Mets have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 9-12-3 this year.
The Mets have been a below-average run line team this season, going 30-38 overall. They’ve been especially bad at home, going just 12-27 on the run line. They’ve been much better on the road, going 18-11 on the run line. They’ve been favored in 35 games, going just 12-23 on the run line in those contests.
When the Mets are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Mets and their opponents have combined to average 9.1 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record in Mets games is 34-32, and their games have averaged eight runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 8-6. This season, 20.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, while 58.8% have had lower lines. The under has hit in the last two games.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and is looking to bounce back from a short outing vs. the Phillies. In that start, he went just 3 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, six hits, and two homers. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Quintana has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 1-5 with a 5.29 ERA. Looking at his home/away splits, Quintana has an ERA of 8.27 on the road compared to 4.21 at home. Opponents are batting .273 off Quintana this year.
Starling Marte has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mets, going 7/17 in his last five games with a homer. For the season, he is batting .286 with seven home runs. Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, and Francisco Lindor are all tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 32 apiece. Alonso and Nimmo are also tied for 3rd on the team with seven homers.
Alonso and Nimmo are both looking to get their batting averages up, as Alonso is hitting just .230, and Nimmo is at .220. Lindor has also struggled of late, going just 4/24 in his last six games. J.D. Martinez is on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .217 in his last six games.