Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 6/15/24
From American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have the Reds and Brewers facing off in an NL Central matchup. First pitch on Saturday is set for 4:10 PM ET, and the Brewers are the favorites on the money line (-130). The money line odds for the Reds are +111, and they are 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 34-35.
Cincinnati has won two straight, while the Brewers are 40-29 overall. Starting for the Reds is Andrew Abbott, and he is facing off against Bryse Wilson for the Brewers.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -130
This game will be played at American Family Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 15th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cincinnati picked up a 6-5 road win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a three-run 5th inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 9th. As for the Brewers, they scored one run in the 1st inning and didn’t score another run until putting up two in the 9th.
Hunter Greene started for the Reds and picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Brewers, Freddy Peralta got the start and took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
TJ Friedl was the difference for the Reds, as he homered, scored twice, and finished with two RBIs. Jeimer Candelario and Elly De La Cruz each had two hits and two RBIs. Jake Fraley also had a two-hit game for Cincinnati.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 34-35 overall and trail the Brewers by six games for the NL Central lead. The Reds are also 3rd in the NL Central, 6.0 games behind the Brewers and 5.5 games behind the Cardinals for the 2nd spot in the division. This season, they have gone 8-6 in divisional games.
The Reds have won two straight games and are 8-2 across their last 10. This season, they are an even 16-16 on the road and 18-19 at home. As the road underdog, the Reds have gone 10-15 this season, and their overall series record is 8-12-2. Cincinnati has won two straight series on the road.
The Reds have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 22-10. They are currently on a five-game run line win streak on the road. Overall, they have a run line record of 37-32, with an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is the same as the combined run average for Reds games this season. Cincinnati’s O/U record for the season is 31-35, and their average O/U line is set at 9 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the Reds have a record of 5-6. Overall, 50.7% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8.5 runs.
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.28 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has a WHIP of 1.19 and has turned in five quality starts. Abbott’s most recent outing was vs. the Cubs, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. So far, he has been better on the road, coming in with a 3.40 ERA compared to 3.35 at home.
Over the past five games, Jeimer Candelario has been on fire for the Reds, going 7/21 with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .247 with 12 homers, which is 9th in the league. Spencer Steer is also a big power threat for the Reds, as he is 14th in the league with 41 RBIs and has seven homers.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are one of the better home run hitting teams in the league. However, they are batting just .227 as a team and are 22nd in on-base percentage. Collectively, they have the 15th best slugging percentage in the league.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is 40-29 overall, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They hold a 5.5-game lead over the Cardinals for the division lead. The Brewers are 16-9 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers are 20-12 this season, and they have gone 20-17 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 21-13, and they are 19-16 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 13-7-2, and they have won two straight series.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -2.9 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is just 35-34, and they are 14-18 against the run line at home. They are 21-16 against the run line on the road, and they are 23-12 against the run line as the underdog.
The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Brewers have played 67 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 38-29, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-13. This is the ninth game this season where the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 13.0% of their games.
Bryse Wilson will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In that June 9th start, he gave up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Looking back over his last four outings, Wilson has allowed at least two homers in three of them. Wilson’s ERA for the season is 4.19, along with a record of 3-3. Opponents are batting .231 vs. Wilson this season. So far, he has made two quality starts this year.
Over the last nine games, Christian Yelich has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 13/33 (.394) with two runs scored and three RBIs. William Contreras has also been on a tear, as he is on an eight-game hitting streak and is batting .307 for the season. His nine homers is 3rd on the team, and he is 7th in the league in RBIs.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. At home, they are averaging 5.3 runs per contest, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the best BABIP in the MLB.