San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/6/24

At 8:03 PM ET, the Padres and Dodgers will square off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -141. The Padres have a record of 93-69, while the Dodgers are 98-64 and Los Angeles is currently on a five-game winning streak.
FS1 will be televising Sunday’s game, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. Jack Flaherty is starting for the Dodgers, while the Padres are going with Yu Darvish. San Diego is +120 on the money line, and the Dodgers are in first place in the NL West.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -141
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 8:03 ET on Sunday, October 6th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Even though the Dodgers were the slight favorites on the road, they still picked up a 7-5 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. Los Angeles had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three runs, and added four more in the 4th. As for the Padres, they scored two runs in the 1st and added their final three in the 4th.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto got the start for the Dodgers, going just three innings while giving up five runs and striking out one. Ryan Brasier got the win out of the bullpen, and Blake Treinen got the save. Adrian Morejon took the loss for San Diego, giving up five earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work.
Shohei Ohtani hit the game’s only home run while going 2/5 with three RBIs. Gavin Lux, Tommy Edman, Freddie Freeman, and Teoscar Hernandez each had two hits and drove in a run for the Dodgers’ offense.
Padres Records & Stats
Facing a must-win game two against the Dodgers, the Padres are on the road, looking to even the series. San Diego finished the regular season with a 93-69 record, going 48-33 on the road and 45-36 at home. They’ve lost their last two games as road underdogs and as underdogs overall.
San Diego’s run line record for the season is 85-80, with a 51-31 mark on the road. They’ve dropped their last two games against the run line as favorites. The over has hit in two straight Padres games, and their over/under record is 84-77. Today’s line of 8.5 runs is higher than most of their games this season, with 62.3% of their matchups having lower totals.
Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 7-3 with an ERA of 3.31. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Darvish most recently faced the Diamondbacks, where he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that outing, he had not allowed an earned run in three straight starts.
San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top hitting team, batting a collective .263. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and their 4.7 runs per game is 8th in the MLB. The Padres are also the league’s top team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.
Manny Machado has been a big run producer for the Padres this season, as his 105 RBIs are 7th best in the league. He also leads the team with 29 homers. The Padres have a few other power threats in their lineup, as Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill are both tied for 2nd on the team with 24 homers. Luis Arraez has been a good contact hitter for the Padres, batting .314 for the season.
Dodgers Records & Stats
Heading into game two of their series against the Padres, the Dodgers hold a 1-0 lead and are looking to extend their five-game winning streak. Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 98-64 record, going 52-29 at home and 46-35 on the road. As home favorites, they posted a 51-29 mark this year.
During the regular season, the Dodgers went 82-81 against the run line, with a +0.9 average run margin at home and +1.1 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in their last two home games. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, while Los Angeles has an over/under record of 91-68 this season.
Right-hander Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces off against the Padres. He has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 13-7 with an ERA of 3.17. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came at home, where he is 5-4 with a 3.54 ERA compared to 8-3 with a 3.27 ERA on the road.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear for the Dodgers of late, going 15/30 in his last seven games with two homers and 10 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in batting average (.310) and RBIs (130). Ohtani’s 54 homers are 2nd in the league and are the best mark on the Dodgers. Teoscar Hernandez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/28 in his last seven games, including two home runs and eight RBIs.
As a team, the Dodgers have been the best offense in the league this season, leading the league in OPS and slugging percentage. They are also 2nd in team batting average and have the league’s top isolated power mark. Overall, they are averaging 5.2 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest.