New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 10/6/24
First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Mets and Phillies is set for 4:08 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Phillies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -154 compared to the Mets at +131. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
This is an NL East matchup, and the Phillies are leading the division with a record of 95-67, while the Mets are in second place at 89-73. Luis Severino will start for the Mets, while the Phillies are sending Cristopher Sanchez to the mound. FS1 will be televising this game.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -154
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 4:08 ET on Sunday, October 6th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 4 to 3
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under
New York picked up a 6-2 road win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense got off to a fast start, scoring five of their six runs in the 1st and 2nd innings. On the other side, the Phillies got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final run in the 9th.
Kodai Senga only went two innings for the Mets but gave up just one run and one hit. Reed Garrett got the win out of the bullpen. Zack Wheeler had a good outing for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just one run on one hit.
Brandon Nimmo and Mark Vientos each had two hits and an RBI for the Mets. Kyle Schwarber did the same for the Phillies.
Mets Records & Stats
As the Mets prepare for game two of their series against the Phillies, they hold a 1-0 lead and are on the road. New York finished the regular season with a 43-38 road record, compared to 46-35 at home. As road underdogs, they went 25-23 this year.
New York’s run line record for the season is 85-81, including 47-38 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in two straight road games. The Mets’ over/under record is 84-77, and 67.3% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line.
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 31 starts and has a record of 11-7 with a 3.91 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Severino has a WHIP of 1.24 and opponents are batting .232 off him this year. In his 32 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 14 quality starts. Per nine innings, Severino is averaging 7.96 strikeouts and 2.97 walks. The right-hander’s last outing came on October 1st, where he got the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on two homers. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso is 10th in the league with 34 homers, and Lindor is right behind him with 33. Lindor is also the team’s leader in RBIs, while Alonso is 3rd with 88 RBIs. Lindor has gone 6/25 in his last seven games, with two homers and seven runs scored.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the league.
Phillies Records & Stats
As the Phillies prepare for game two of their series against the Mets, they find themselves down 0-1 and in need of a win. Philadelphia posted a 95-67 regular season record, including a strong 54-27 mark at home, compared to 41-40 on the road. As favorites, they went 82-50, while finishing 13-18 as underdogs.
Philadelphia’s run line record for the season is 78-85, with a 37-45 mark at home. They have a +1.0 run-scoring margin at home, compared to +0.3 on the road. The Phillies’ over/under record is 79-75, and 71.6% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line. The over has hit in six straight games for Philadelphia.
Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going 4 2/3 innings vs. the Cubs. In that outing, he gave up three earned runs, four hits, and one homer. Before that, he had turned in a quality start in two straight outings. Sánchez’s ERA for the season is 3.32, along with a record of 11-9. This year, he has two complete games and one shutout. Opponents are batting .250 vs. Sánchez this year. Per nine innings, he has 7.58 strikeouts and just 2.18 walks.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the top offenses in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the majors. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .257. The Phillies have also been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, ranking 7th in the league.
Over his last six games, Kyle Schwarber has hit just .217 for the Phillies, but he does have two homers in this stretch. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-high 38 home runs. Bryce Harper is 2nd on the team with 30 homers and is batting .285 for the season. Harper’s 87 RBIs is 3rd best on the team.