San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24

At 1:35 PM ET, the Padres and Orioles will face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line at -160. The Padres have won seven straight and they are 57-50 overall, while the Orioles are 61-43.

The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and the forecast for Sunday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 80’s. Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Randy Vasquez for the Padres. Vasquez will be making his MLB debut. MASN is carrying this game on TV.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -160

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 28th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

San Diego cruised to a 9-4 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only four runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -113 on the money line.

Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. Dean Kremer had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up seven hits and one earned run.

Manny Machado and Xander Bogaerts each had three hits and three RBIs for the Padres’ offense. Jurickson Profar scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Jackson Merrill also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego has reeled off seven straight wins, and they are 57-50 overall this season. The Padres trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West and are 2nd in the division. So far, they have gone just 15-17 in divisional games.

As the road team today, the Padres are 31-22 this season compared to 26-28 at home. San Diego has been favored in 61 of their games, and they are 32-29 in those games. The Padres have also been good as the road underdog, going 20-13 this year. Their overall series record is 19-13-3, and they have won two straight series.

The Padres have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 57-50 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 38-15. They have covered the run line in seven straight road games and have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog. The Padres have an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game this season.

The Padres are on the road against the Orioles today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. San Diego’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-50. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in six of eight games. Only 3.7% of their games have had higher lines than 9.5 runs this season, and their over streak is at two games.

Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.17. Vásquez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.49. In his 14 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Nationals, he went six innings and gave up just one hit. Looking back, Vásquez has allowed just two earned runs in three straight outings.

So far this season, the Padres have been the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .263. This has helped them to be 12th in the league in runs per game at 4.6. San Diego’s offense is also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. The Padres have been especially good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jurickson Profar has been on a tear of late, going 10/26 in his last six games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .304 with 18 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. Manny Machado, Jake Cronenworth, and Fernando Tatis Jr. are all tied for 2nd on the team with 14 homers. Tatis Jr. is batting .279 for the season, while Machado is hitting .262.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles host the Padres today with an overall record of 61-43, which has them leading the AL East by one game over the Yankees. Baltimore has dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Padres and are just 4-6 across their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 20-9 against other teams in the AL East.

At home, the Orioles are 30-24 this season and have gone 31-19 on the road. Baltimore’s record as the favorite is 49-34, and they are 12-9 when listed as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 21-9-3, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, with a 55-49 record. They have been better on the road, going 30-20 compared to 25-29 at home. Their average run margin is +0.8, with a +1.2 margin on the road and +0.4 at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 15-6 vs. the run line.

The Orioles have been playing in high-scoring games all season, with an average combined run total of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 55-39, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in all three games. However, this season, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs in just 3% of their games. Their over streak is at five games.

Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.48 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. In his 20 appearances, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Suárez’s last outing was a rough one, as he gave up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Anthony Santander has been on a tear of late, going 12/38 (.316) with six homers over his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .242 and is 8th in the league with 29 home runs. Santander’s 68 RBIs is also good for 8th in the MLB. Gunnar Henderson is also having a strong season at the plate, with a batting average of .284 and 28 homers.

As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top home run-hitting team and are 3rd in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Baltimore is also the league’s top slugging team and has the best isolated power figure in the league. Overall, they are batting .252, which is 5th in the MLB.