Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24
From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have the Guardians and Phillies facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 1:35 PM ET. MLBN is carrying this one on TV.
The Phillies are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -145 compared to the Guardians at +122. Sunday’s over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs. Cleveland is 62-42, while the Phillies are leading the NL East with a record of 65-39.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -145
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 28th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Guardians, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only push across one run.
Tyler Phillips started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going nine innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just four hits allowed and four strikeouts. On the other side, Carlos Carrasco got the start for the Guardians and took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
Kyle Schwarber and Brandon Marsh each homered for the Phillies, while Nick Castellanos went 2/3 with two RBIs. Bryce Harper also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is on the road today vs. the Phillies with an overall record of 62-42, which has them leading the AL Central by 4.5 games. The Guardians lead the division with an overall record of 17-15 and are currently 4.5 games ahead of the Twins. This year, the Guardians have been really good as the favorite, going 45-23, and they are 29-27 on the road.
The Guardians have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games and are 20-10-3 in series this year. Cleveland has an overall record of 20-10-3 in series, and they are looking to take the series lead vs. the Phillies today.
The Guardians have been a solid run line team this season, going 50-54 overall. They have been a .500 run line team on the road, going 28-28. They have been a better run line bet at home, going 22-26. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 21-15, compared to 29-39 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Guardians have an over/under record of 49-49 this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs this season, their record is 2-1. The over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs in just 3 of their games this season, accounting for only 2.9% of their games. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season, and they are currently on a 4-game under streak.
Joey Cantillo takes the mound for the Guardians in today’s game versus the Phillies. It’s his opportunity to start the season on the right foot, as this will be his first outing of the year.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 24 homers are 8th in the league and Naylor’s 22 is 10th in the MLB. Ramirez also has 82 RBIs, which is the 2nd most in the league right now. However, Ramirez has just one homer in his last eight games and is batting just .233 in that stretch. Naylor has also struggled of late, going 3/20 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Guardians are 13th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They are also 11th in batting average and have been one of the league’s best teams at not striking out. Currently, they are 13th in OPS and have the 11th on-base percentage in the MLB.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is 65-39 overall and leads the NL East by 9.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies are 15-10 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 38-17 this year and 27-22 on the road.
So far, the Phillies have been the favorite in most of their games, as they are 57-31 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Phillies are 8-8 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-11-5 but have dropped three straight series.
The Phillies have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game this season, and they are 53-51 against the run line. At home, they are 28-27 against the run line, with a run differential of +1.6 runs per game. They are 45-43 against the run line as the favorite and 8-8 as the underdog.
The Philadelphia Phillies have an over/under record of 46-53 this season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Phillies have gone 3-6. Overall, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs in just 4.8% of their games this season, with the majority of games having lower lines. The under has hit in their last two games.
Kolby Allard will be making his fourth appearance of the season and fourth start overall. He has yet to record a quality start and is 0-1 on the season. Allard’s ERA sits at 6.57, and opposing batters are hitting .296 against him. His WHIP is 1.62, and his FIP is 4.23. Allard has given up two home runs this season and is averaging 1.0 strikeout per inning. His strikeouts per nine innings is 9.49, while his walks per nine innings is 2.92.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 5th in runs per game (4.9), and are the top-scoring team in the league when playing at home. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and 3rd in team batting average. The Phillies have a few hitters who are among the league leaders in RBIs, including Alec Bohm, who is 6th in the league with 71 RBIs and Bryce Harper, who is 9th in the league with 67 RBIs.
Harper and Bohm have been two of the Phillies’ top hitters this season, with Harper leading the team with 24 homers and a .288 batting average, and Bohm is batting .297 with 11 homers. However, Harper has struggled a bit of late, going 6/37 in his last nine games. Schwarber has also been a key power bat for the Phillies, as he has 20 homers and is batting .245.