Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24
At 11:35 from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an interleague matchup between the Reds and Rays. Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central with a record of 50-54, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East at 53-52.
The over/under line for Sunday’s game is at 7.5 runs, and the Reds are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -131 compared to the Rays at +110. Hunter Greene is starting for the Reds, while Shawn Armstrong goes for the Rays.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline +110
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 11:35 ET on Sunday, July 28th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS RAYS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay cruised to a 4-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 5th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Reds, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster three hits.
Zack Littell started for the Rays and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued just one walk. On the other side, Andrew Abbott got the start for the Reds and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work.
Alex Jackson was the only player in the game to homer, going 1/3 with two RBIs. Yandy Diaz, Brandon Lowe, and Amed Rosario each had two hits and an RBI for the Rays’ offense.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is on the road today for the final game of their series vs. the Rays, and they are 50-54 overall this season. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, nine games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 12-14 in divisional games.
The Reds have been good at home this year, putting together a record of 25-28. On the road, they are also one game above .500 at 25-26. Cincinnati has been good as the favorite this year, going 26-22, and they are 24-32 as the underdog. So far, they have an impressive 8-3 record as the road favorite. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 12-18-3, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Rays.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 55-49 overall. They have been even better on the run line on the road, where they are 32-19. Cincinnati has an average run differential of 0.3 runs per game this season, and they have been a good bet as the underdog, going 34-22 on the run line.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the Tampa Bay Rays today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.5 runs. Cincinnati’s over/under record for the season is 46-54, and their average over/under line is 9 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the Reds are 6-9. The over has hit in 80.8% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.
Hunter Greene has been pitching well for the Reds, as he has made 20 starts and has a record of 7-4. His ERA for the season is 3.15, along with a WHIP of 1.09. Greene’s last outing came on July 22nd, and he was dominant in that start. Against the Braves, he went seven innings, didn’t give up a run, and got the win. Looking back further, Greene has allowed just one earned run in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .187 off Greene this season, and he has a total of nine quality starts.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/28 in his last seven games, including one home run and six runs scored. For the season, he is batting .258 with a team-high 18 homers. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also among the league leaders in home runs, with 15 and 16, respectively. Steer is batting just .239, while Candelario is hitting .231.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. This is also where they rank in home runs. Their team batting average of .229 is 20th in the MLB, and they are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. Currently, Nick Martini and Stuart Fairchild are on hitting streaks for the Reds.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is 53-52 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Orioles by 8.5 games in the division. So far, they have gone just 16-21 in divisional play. The Rays are at home today, where they are 28-28 this year.
The Rays have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games and are 18-12-3 in series this year. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 29-26 and 24-26 as the underdog. In this series, they are 1-1 vs. the Reds.
The Rays have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 51-54 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 29-20. They have covered the run line in three straight games at home and as an underdog.
The Rays are home today against the Reds, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their combined run average this season is 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 50-50. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-14. Overall, 70 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, accounting for 66.7% of their games. They are currently on a two-game under streak.
Tampa Bay is giving the ball to right-hander Shawn Armstrong today vs. the Reds. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 5.64 ERA. Armstrong has made a total of 37 appearances this season. His ERA at home is 14.18, compared to 5.03 on the road. Armstrong’s last outing came on July 23rd vs. the Blue Jays, where he went two innings, giving up no earned runs, one hit, and one walk. He finished with four strikeouts in that outing. Armstrong has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
For the season, the Rays are averaging just four runs per game, which is 26th in the league. Their home and road splits are also not good, as they are averaging 3.7 runs per game at home and 4.4 on the road. As a team, they are batting just .235, and their collective slugging percentage of .375 is 22nd in the league.
Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top power threat this season, leading the team with 16 home runs. He is also first on the team with 55 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has been a consistent hitter for the Rays, batting .272 with nine homers and 47 RBIs. Over his last five games, Brandon Lowe has gone 7/15 with two homers and six RBIs. Curtis Mead comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.