San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings Betting Pick & Prediction 3/7/25

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-223) will host the San Antonio Spurs (+186) in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings are favored by 6 points and the over/under line is set at 236.
San Antonio comes into the game with a record of 26-34 and is 13th in the Western Conference. The Kings are 9th in the West with a record of 32-29.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Antonio Spurs +6
This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Friday, March 7th.
WHY BET THE SAN ANTONIO SPURS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-109 in favor of the Spurs.
- Our projections have De’Aaron Fox finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Spurs finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.7% and knocking down 13 threes.
Is a Win at Sacramento Possible for the Spurs?
The Spurs improved to 26-34 on the season with a 127-113 win over the Nets on Tuesday. San Antonio, playing at home, covered the -3.5 point spread, while the game’s total of 240 points went over the 229.5 O/U line.
Brooklyn went on a 10-0 run early, extending their lead from 31-27 to 41-27, but the Spurs responded by outscoring the Nets 37-23 in the 3rd quarter. San Antonio entered the 4th quarter with a 99-80 lead, and despite the Nets outscoring them 33-28 in the final period, the Spurs held on for the win.
Devin Vassell was on fire for the Spurs in their win over the Nets, hitting 8 threes at a 72.7% clip and finishing with 37 points, 11 rebounds, and 5 assists. He did most of his damage in the 3rd quarter, scoring 17 points in that period alone.
As a team, the Spurs made 18 threes, shooting 46.2% from deep and 54.7% overall. Stephon Castle added 17 points, while De’Aaron Fox and Keldon Johnson each contributed 15 points in the victory.
Even with a couple of rough quarters, the Spurs held the Nets to 113 points in their win on Tuesday. San Antonio’s defense was at its best in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed just 23 points. Overall, Brooklyn shot 45% from the field.
The Nets connected on 17 threes at a 34% clip. San Antonio sent Brooklyn to the line 21 times, where they made 18 free throws. The Spurs finished with 9 steals and 4 blocks.
Will the Kings Defense Show Up at Home?
The Kings fell to 32-29 on the season after a 116-110 road loss to the Nuggets on Wednesday. Sacramento entered the game as +8.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 226, falling short of the 235-point line.
Sacramento started strong, leading 42-29 after the 1st quarter. However, they were outscored 26-23 in the 2nd and 29-28 in the 3rd. Despite holding a 93-84 lead going into the 4th, the Kings were outscored 32-17 in the final period.
DeMar DeRozan led the Kings with 35 points and 5 assists in their 116-110 loss to the Nuggets, knocking down 4 threes at a 66.7% clip. Zach LaVine added 20 points, while Jonas Valančiūnas contributed 19 points and 13 rebounds, shooting 57.1% from the field.
The Kings hit 11 threes, shooting 40.7% from deep and 45.8% overall. DeRozan scored 18 points in the 3rd quarter, while LaVine added 12 in the 4th. Jake LaRavia and Keon Ellis also made an impact early, with LaRavia scoring 11 of his 15 points in the 1st quarter and Ellis adding 9 of his 11 points in the opening period.
Defensively, the Kings gave up 116 points to the Nuggets, allowing 29 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, 26 in the 2nd, and 32 in the 4th. Sacramento held Denver to 46% shooting from the field.
The Kings limited the Nuggets to 12 made threes on 34% shooting. Denver went 24/30 from the free-throw line. Sacramento recorded 31 defensive rebounds, gave up 11 offensive boards, and added 8 steals and 6 blocks.