Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/7/25
At 10:00 ET, the Phoenix Suns (29-33) will take on the Denver Nuggets (40-22) at Ball Arena in Denver. The Nuggets are currently favored by 7.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 237.5.
This Western Conference matchup can be seen on ESPN. The Suns are 11th in the West, while the Nuggets are 3rd. Phoenix is 5th in the Pacific Division, and Denver is 2nd in the Northwest.
PHOENIX SUNS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Phoenix Suns +7.5
This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 ET on Friday, March 7th.
WHY BET THE PHOENIX SUNS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 126-122 in favor of the Suns.
- Our projections have Devin Booker finishing with 26 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists.
- From the field, we have the Suns finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.9% and knocking down 15 threes.
Do the Suns Have a Shot at a Win at Denver?
With a 119-117 win over the Clippers on Tuesday, the Suns improved to 29-33 for the season. Phoenix was a +2.5 point underdog going into the game and covered the spread with the win. The total points for the game were 236, surpassing the over/under line of 223.5 by 12.5 points.
After falling behind 95-76 going into the 4th quarter, Phoenix turned the game around by outscoring the Clippers 43-22 in the final period. A key moment was a 12-0 run that brought the score from 95-74 to 95-86, helping the Suns complete the comeback.
Kevin Durant’s 19-point fourth quarter helped lift the Suns to a 119-117 win over the Clippers, as he finished with a game-high 34 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists. Devin Booker added 17 points and 8 assists, while Nick Richards contributed 16 points on 80% shooting.
Phoenix shot 51.2% from the field and hit 14 threes at a 41.2% clip. Durant made 4 threes, though he shot just 36.4% from deep.
Defensively, the Suns struggled in the 2nd quarter, giving up 41 points, but they tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 22 points to help secure the win. Overall, they allowed 117 points on 51% shooting from the field.
Phoenix did an excellent job defending the three, holding the Clippers to 26% shooting with only 8 made threes. They also gave up 27 free throws, with the Clippers making 23. The Suns recorded 5 steals and 3 blocks in the game.
Will the Denver Defense Show Up at Home?
After a 116-110 win over the Kings on Wednesday, the Nuggets improved to 40-22 this season. Denver was favored by 8.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, winning by six. The total score of 226 points fell short of the 235-point over/under line.
Denver rallied after a slow start, where they trailed 42-29 after the 1st quarter. They chipped away at the lead in the 2nd and 3rd quarters before dominating the 4th, outscoring Sacramento 32-17 to complete the comeback.
Russell Westbrook led the Nuggets with 25 points and 4 made threes at a 57.1% clip in their win over the Kings, adding 12 points in the 4th quarter. Jamal Murray contributed 24 points, 9 of which came in the final period, despite shooting 33.3% from deep.
Nikola Jokić added 22 points and 15 rebounds, with 8 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters. Denver hit 12 threes at 34.3% and shot 46% overall, both below their season averages.
Despite a rough start, giving up 42 points in the 1st quarter, the Nuggets tightened up their defense, allowing just 23 points in the 2nd and 17 in the 4th to secure the win. Denver held Sacramento to 110 points on 45% shooting from the field.
The Nuggets allowed 11 three-pointers at a 40% clip. They sent the Kings to the line 14 times, where they made 11 free throws. Denver finished with 35 defensive rebounds, gave up 14 offensive boards, and recorded 5 steals and 8 blocks.