San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/24
The Pelicans (-722) are favored by 11.5 points over the Spurs (+498) in this Southwest Division matchup. The over/under line is sitting at 219.5 points.
The Pelicans (45-31) have dropped three straight games and are currently seventh in the Western Conference. The Spurs (18-58) have lost two in a row and are 15th in the West.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New Orleans Pelicans -11.5
This game will be played at Smoothie King Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, April 5th.
WHY BET THE NEW ORLEANS PELICANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-103 in favor of the Pelicans.
- Our projections have Zion Williamson finishing with Zion Williamson points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Pelicans finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.8% and knocking down 12 threes.
Do the Spurs Stand a Chance in New Orleans?
Today, the Spurs are looking to snap a two-game losing streak as they take on the Pelicans. In their last game, San Antonio lost to the Nuggets by a score of 110-105. The Spurs were 15.5-point underdogs in that game, giving them an ATS win.
San Antonio has an overall record of 18-58 this season, which is 15th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 7-22 compared to 11-36 against Western Conference opponents.
As underdogs, the Spurs have gone 13-56 straight-up this season and 35-34 ATS. Today, they are 11.5-point underdogs and have an average scoring differential of -8.9 points per game as underdogs.
On the road, San Antonio is 20-18 ATS for the season, and they have an ATS scoring differential of -9.0 points per game. Their road record is 8-30.
This season, the Spurs have played in games with higher over/under lines than 219.5 in 73 of their 76 games. Their games have averaged 231.2 points per game, compared to today’s O/U line of 219.5. Overall, their O/U record for the season is 38-37-1.
Heading into the game, the Spurs are 22nd in the NBA in scoring at 112.1 points per game. In terms of scoring on the road, San Antonio is averaging 110.7 points per game.
When it comes to their three-point shooting, the Spurs are 26th in the league at 34%. Overall, they are 25th in field goal percentage at 46%.
San Antonio is 4th in the NBA in pace at 101.1 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 2nd in the league at 29.8 per game.
So far, the Spurs’ defense is ranked 25th in the league at 119.1 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Spurs are forcing 14.4 per game, which is 27th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 3rd in blocked shots at 6.3 per game.
Will New Orleans Win at Home?
The Pelicans have lost three straight games and are looking to get back on track against the Spurs today. Despite their recent struggles, the Pelicans are favored by 11.5 points.
New Orleans’ O/U record for the season is 33-43, and they have gone over the line in their last two games. This season, their games have averaged 225.6 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 219.5.
In their last game, the Pelicans lost to the Magic by a score of 117-108. The O/U line for that game was 208.5 points. New Orleans was favored by 4.5 points going into the game.
Looking at the Western Conference standings, the Pelicans are currently in 7th place with a record of 45-31. Against the Western Conference, they are 26-20 and 9-6 against other Southwest Division teams.
For the season, the Pelicans have an ATS record of 40-35. At home, they are 20-18 ATS and have an average scoring differential of +4.1 points per game. As the favorite, they are 23-23 ATS.
At home, the Pelicans are averaging 115.2 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. Overall, they are 13th in the league at 115.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 10th in the NBA at 48%.
So far this season, the Pelicans have outscored the NBA scoring average in 48.7% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 19th in the league at 97.3 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 7th in the NBA at 37%.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Pelicans are 8th in the league in free-throw attempts at 23.2 per game. In terms of assists, they are 12th in the league at 26.9 per game.
On defense, the Pelicans come into the game ranked 8th in the league in points allowed at 110.6 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 115 points per contest (4th). Opponents are hitting 55.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.7% of their three-point attempts.