Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/24

At 8:00 ET, the 12th-ranked Raptors (-1594) will travel to take on the 2nd-ranked Bucks (-16.5) in an Eastern Conference matchup. Toronto has lost 15 straight and is 23-53 on the year, while Milwaukee has lost two in a row and is 47-29 overall.

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and can be seen on WMLW. The over/under line for the game is 225.5 points.

TORONTO RAPTORS VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Raptors +16.5

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 8:00 ET on Friday, April 5th.

WHY BET THE TORONTO RAPTORS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 119-108 in favor of the Bucks.
• Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 17 threes.

No Pressure for Toronto as Away Dogs

The Raptors have lost 15 straight games and are currently in 12th place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 23-53. In non-conference games, they are 7-23 compared to 16-30 against the East.

Toronto’s ATS record for the season is 32-44, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last five games. On the road, they are 19-18 ATS compared to 9-13 as the underdog.

Toronto’s O/U record for the season is 39-36-1, and the over has hit in their last four games. This year, their games have averaged 231 points per game, and today’s line is set at 225.5.

The Raptors are coming off a 133-85 loss to the Timberwolves. They were 17.5-point underdogs in that game and are 11-43 as underdogs this season. The game’s O/U line was 213.5.

On the road, the Raptors are scoring 115.2 points per game compared to their season average of 112.3 (21st). So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 42.1% of their games. In terms of pace, Toronto is 12th in the league at 99.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, the Raptors are 16th in the NBA at 47%. Inside the arc, they are 5th in two-point field goal attempts and makes. However, they are just 28th in three-point shooting percentage and 26th in three-point makes.

So far, the Raptors have been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 28.8 assists per game (5th). In terms of free throws, Toronto is 19th in attempts and 22nd in makes.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Raptors is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 118.7 points per game (24th). Inside the arc, the Raptors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 56.5% and 37.6% from three-point territory.

Can Milwaukee Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

As the favorite, the Bucks have a record of 44-20 this season and are favored by 16.5 points in today’s game. In their last two games as the favorite, they have failed to cover the spread. Overall, they are 28-36 vs. the spread as the favorite this season.

In their games as the favorite, Milwaukee has gone 38-38 on the over/under this season. Today’s O/U line of 225.5 is lower than the season average of 235.2 for their games. This year, their games have averaged 236.8 points per game.

Milwaukee’s last game vs. Memphis finished with a combined score of 212 points, falling short of the O/U line of 217.5. The Bucks lost the game by a score of 111-101. This loss was their second straight.

Overall, the Bucks are 47-29 this season, which is the best record in the Central Division. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 2nd place. At home, Milwaukee is 29-9 compared to 18-20 on the road.

This season, the Bucks have an ATS record of 33-43, including a mark of 17-21 at home. Their games have averaged a scoring differential of +6.7 points per game at home and they are 5-7 vs. the spread as the underdog.

This season, the Bucks are 3rd in the NBA in scoring at 120 points per game. When playing at home, they have increased their scoring to 122.3 points per game.

When it comes to pace, the Bucks are 5th in the league at 100.4 possessions per game.

So far, Milwaukee has outscored the NBA scoring average in 64.5% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, the Bucks are 7th in the league at 48%.

On defense, the Bucks are ranked 22nd in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 57.9% of their games. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Bucks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.1% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.4% from downtown.