Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Mocs. The game is starting at 4:30 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Mocs at McKenzie Arena in Chattanooga, TN. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 158.5 points, and Chattanooga is favored by -1.5 to win at home against Samford.


The Pick: Chattanooga Mocs -1.5

This game will be played at McKenzie Arena at 4:30 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Mocs.
  • Not only will Chattanooga pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 158.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will the Bulldogs Find a Way to Win in Chattanooga?

Samford enters this game as the underdog, a role they have not been in often this season. They have been favored in 15 of their 22 games and have gone 15-0 in those contests. However, they have struggled on the road this season, going just 5-3 compared to their perfect 11-0 mark at home.

Over their last 10 road games, Samford has gone 7-3, and they are coming off a win over Wofford, 81-79. For the season, they are 19-3, including an 8-1 mark in Southern Conference games.

Samford has an overall ATS record of 11-8 this season, including a 4-4 mark vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Bulldogs have gone 1-3 vs. the spread this year and are just 3-7 in their last 10 games as the underdog. Their last three road ATS record is 1-2, and their last five underdog ATS mark is 1-4.

Samford's over/under record this season is 9-10 and the average scoring total in their games is 160.9 points. Today's over/under line of 158.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (155.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their OU record during this span is 1-2.

Samford's offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Wofford, finishing the game with a total of 81 points. Their season average is now 88.2 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Achor Achor who comes into today's matchup averaging 15.8. A.J. Staton Mccray also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.9.

Currently, the Bulldogs' defense holds the 237th rank in the nation, allowing 75.4 points per game. Against Wofford in their most recent game, the Samford defense gave up a total of 79 points while allowing Wofford to hit 50% of their shots.

Can Chattanooga Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Chattanooga is coming off a 91-85 win over Western Carolina, and they are 15-7 overall, including a 7-2 record in Southern Conference games. The Mocs have won five straight games, and they are 10-3 when favored this season.

At home, Chattanooga is 7-2 this season, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. On the year, their average scoring margin at home is +11.0 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Chattanooga has gone 8-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mocs have a 7-3 record vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Chattanooga games sits at 11-9 and today's over/under line of 158.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (148.2). Across their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their games have averaged 156 points in those matchups.

Chattanooga's offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Western Carolina, finishing the game with a total of 91 points. Their season average is now 79.5 points per game. The top scorer for the Mocs was Trey Bonham with 22 points, while Jan Zidek also chipped in with 20 points.

Coming into today's game, the Chattanooga defense is giving up an average of 70.5 points per contest. In today's game vs. Samford, the Chattanooga defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Chattanooga made 16 free-throws vs. the Mocs.