Looking to win big? The Hornets and Vandals face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Vandals are hosting the game at Idaho Central Arena in Boise, ID. The odds for this Big Sky conference game currently have Idaho as the -1 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 128 points.

SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS VS IDAHO VANDALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Idaho Vandals -1

This game will be played at Idaho Central Arena at 7:30 ET on Saturday, March 9th.

WHY BET THE IDAHO VANDALS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Vandals.
  • Not only will Idaho pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 128 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can Sacramento State Secure a Road Victory?

Despite their struggles on the road this season, Sacramento State has been the underdog in 21 of their 31 games. They have gone 4-17 in those games, including a 1-9 mark over their last 10 road games.

Most recently, the Hornets lost to Eastern Washington, 91-88. This season, they have gone 8-23 overall and 4-14 in Big Sky play.

Against the spread, Sacramento State has gone 12-15-2 this season. As the underdog, the Hornets are 11-9-1 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 7-3 ATS. On the road, Sacramento State's ATS mark is 6-8-1 this year and they have gone 4-5-1 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. In their last three road games, the Hornets are 3-0 ATS.

Today's over/under line of 128 is lower than the average over/under line in Sacramento State's games this year (137.3). This season, 22 of their games have finished with more points than today's over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 146 points.

Sacramento State finished with 88 points in their game against Eastern Washington. This total surpasses their season-average of 66.6 points per game. The top scorer for the Hornets was Zee Hamoda with 18 points, while Emil Skytta also chipped in with 15 points.

At present, the Hornets' defense is nationally ranked 132nd, allowing 70.5 points per game. So far, the Sacramento State defense is giving up an average of 6.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14.2 times per game (701st).

Taking a Look at the Vandals Chances at Home

Idaho is 4-10 at home this season, and they have lost two straight at home. They are coming off a 72-57 loss to Portland State, and they are 1-4 in their last five home games. For the season, they are 11-20 overall, and they are 5-13 in Big Sky Conference play.

Idaho is favored by one point in this game, and they have been favored in five of their 31 games this season. They have gone 3-2 when favored, and they are 6-18 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 6-7 in non-conference games compared to 5-10 on the road.

As the favorite, Idaho has gone just 4-5-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 games. At home this season, the Vandals have a mark of 5-8-1 vs. the spread. Overall, Idaho's ATS record for the year is 12-16-1.

Today's over/under line of 128 for the Idaho Vandals' game against Sacramento State is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (140.9). The over/under record in their games this year is 13-14-2. So far, 23 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3.

The Idaho offense is coming off a game in which they scored 57 points vs. Portland State. Overall their field goal percentage was 46.3% while connecting on 8 threes. The team's top scorer is Quinn Denker, who enters today's matchup with an average of 12.4, while Julius Mims also carries a PPG average of 10.8 into the game.

Currently, the Vandals' defense holds the 146th rank in the nation, allowing 71.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. Portland State, the Vikings finished with a field goal percentage of 43% and a total of 72 points vs. Idaho.