Looking to win big? The Hornets and Vandals face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Vandals are hosting the game at ICCU Arena in Moscow, ID. The over/under for this Big Sky conference contest is set at 139.5 points, with the Vandals being the favored team playing at home against the Hornets.


The Pick: Idaho Vandals -3

This game will be played at ICCU Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, December 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Vandals.
  • Not only will Idaho pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Do the Hornets Have What it Takes on the Road?

As of today, the Hornets are 3-8 this season, with their most recent game being a loss to Long Beach State by a score of 83-73. In their last ten road games, which includes games from last year, Sacramento State has a 2-8 record. Sacramento State has a subpar ATS record thus far, sitting below .500 at 2-5. When playing away games, the Hornets are 2-3 vs. the spread, while at home they are 0-2 ATS.

Up to this point, games involving Sacramento State have had an average of 147.4 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 143.3 points. Their over/under record is 5-2-0. The Hornets' have recorded an over/under record of 0-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 133 points per game.

In their recent game, the Hornets' offense concluded with 73 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.3 points per contest. The team's top scorer is Duncan Powell, who enters today's matchup with an average of 13.5, while Zee Hamoda also carries a PPG average of 12.9 into the game.

On defense, Sacramento State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.7 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Sacramento State's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.6% this season.

Can the Vandals Hold Strong at Home?

Idaho comes into today's game against Sacramento State with a 6-6 record this season. In their last five games at home, including one from last year, Idaho has a record of 4-1. Entering today's game, Idaho holds a 4-5 record against the spread. This season, they have gone 2-4 vs. the spread on the road and 2-1 at home.

Idaho's games have, on average, featured 143.2 points per game leading to an over/under record of 5-3-1. Their average over/under line is currently 141.6 points so far. The Vandals' have recorded an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 139 points per game.

The Idaho offense is coming off a game where they scored 67 points against UC Riverside. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.4% and connected on 8 threes. The Idaho offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.7 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 32% of their looks from outside this season.

In the current season, the Idaho defense has excelled, sitting 91st in the nation by allowing 67.3 points per game. Against UC Riverside in their most recent game, the Idaho defense gave up a total of 82 points while allowing UC Riverside to hit 50% of their shots.