Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Broncs and Stags. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Stags at Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, CT. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Metro Atlantic Athletic conference game currently have Fairfield as the -5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 149 points.


The Pick: Fairfield Stags -5

This game will be played at Leo D. Mahoney Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Stags.
  • Not only will Fairfield pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Broncs Grab a Win in Fairfield?

Through 22 games this season, Rider has an 8-14 record, including a 5-6 mark in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play. On the road, the Broncs are just 3-11 compared to 4-3 at home.

Overall, Rider has been the underdog in 14 of its 22 games, going 3-11 in those contests. The Broncs' average scoring margin on the road this season is -10.6 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Rider has gone 5-8-1 vs. the spread. However, their ATS mark on the road is a solid 5-8-1. Over their last 3 road games, the Broncs are a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread and they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road contests.

This season, the over/under record for Rider games is 13-8, and today's line of 149 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.3). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 151 points per game.

Rider finished with 93 points in their game against Iona. This total surpasses their season-average of 72.9 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Mervin James, who is averaging 19.2 heading into today's matchup. Additionally, T.J Weeks Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 10.5 heading into game.

At present, the Broncs' defense is nationally ranked 233rd, allowing 74.9 points per game. So far, the Rider defense is giving up an average of 9.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.1 times per game (598th).

Is a Home Win Possible for Fairfield?

Today, Fairfield enters as a 5-point favorite against Rider. So far this season, the Stags have gone 8-3 when favored, compared to 4-6 when they are the underdog. Through 22 games, Fairfield has a record of 13-9.

At home this season, the Stags have gone 5-3, and their average scoring margin at home is +5.1. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4.

As the favorite, Fairfield has gone just 5-6 vs. the spread this season and they have an overall ATS mark of 9-12. At home, their ATS record is just 3-5 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are just 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for Fairfield games is 15-6. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 143.9 and their matchups have averaged 148.6 points. Today's over/under line of 149 is similar to their season average OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and over their last five games, the OU record is 3-2. This season, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line of 149.

In their recent game, the Stags' offense concluded with 77 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 76.3 points per contest. Offensively, the Stags have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 189th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 115th in percentage and 42nd in three-pointers made.

On defense, Fairfield is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.8 points per game. Fairfield's three-point defense is currently 89th in the country at 6.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.6% of their shots vs. Fairfield.