Looking to win big? The Bobcats and Stags face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Stags are hosting the game at Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, CT. The over/under for this game is set at 156.5 points, and Fairfield is favored by -2.5 vs. Quinnipiac in a Metro Atlantic Athletic conference matchup.

QUINNIPIAC BOBCATS VS FAIRFIELD STAGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Fairfield Stags -2.5

This game will be played at Leo D. Mahoney Arena at 2:00 ET on Sunday, January 28th.

WHY BET THE FAIRFIELD STAGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Stags.
  • Not only will Fairfield pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Bobcats Lock in a Road Win?

Quinnipiac comes into this game as the underdog, as they are 2-4 in games in which they were not favored this season. The Bobcats are 15-4 overall and have won six straight games, including their most recent matchup against Mount St. Mary's, 79-65.

On the road, Quinnipiac has gone 6-3 this season, and over their last 10 road games, they are 7-3. They are also 2-1 in their last three road games and 4-1 in their last five.

Quinnipiac has been a solid bet this season, going 11-7 against the spread. They have a winning record vs. the spread both at home (5-4) and on the road (6-3). Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bobcats have an impressive 7-3 ATS mark.

Today's over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Quinnipiac's games this season (148.1). So far, their over/under record for the season is 7-11. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 158 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Quinnipiac's offense scored 79 points against Mount St. Mary's. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.7%, and they went 7/9 from the free-throw line. Matt Balanc is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today's matchup with an average of 18.7. Meanwhile, Amarri Tice also brings a PPG average of 12.3 into the game.

In terms of defense, Quinnipiac is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.8 points per game. Against Mount St. Mary's in their most recent game, the Quinnipiac defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing Mount St. Mary's to hit 47% of their shots.

Will the Stags Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

When playing at home this season, Fairfield has an average scoring margin of +5.7 points per game. The Stags have won four straight games at home, and they are 4-2 overall in home games.

So far this season, Fairfield has been the favorite in nine games, going 7-2 in those contests. The Stags have won three straight games and are 12-7 overall.

So far this season, Fairfield has an even 9-9 record vs. the spread. As the favorite, their ATS mark is 5-4, but they have gone just 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three games as the favorite. At home, the Stags have gone 3-3 vs. the spread this year and over their last 10 games as the favorite, their ATS record is 5-5.

On the season, the over/under record for Fairfield games is 14-4 and their games have averaged 148.4 points. Today's over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (142.8) and their last three games have had an average of 150 points.

Fairfield is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 82 points vs. Manhattan. This figure is more than their season average of 76.6 points per game. The top scorer for the Stags was Caleb Fields with 25 points, while Jalen Leach also added 23 to the scoreboard.

In terms of defense, Fairfield is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. Quinnipiac. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.1%.