Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/17/24
From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Pirates and Cardinals facing off in an NL Central matchup. This one gets started at 7:45 PM ET, and the Cardinals are the betting favorite on the money line at -138. The money line odds for the Pirates are sitting at +118, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Pittsburgh is 71-79 this season, while the Cardinals are at .500 with a record of 75-75. Lance Lynn will start for the Cardinals, while the Pirates are sending Bailey Falter to the mound. SN PT will be televising this one.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +118
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Tuesday, September 17th.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
St. Louis cruised to a 4-0 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a huge 8th inning, scoring two of their four runs and picking up a 4-1 win. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were at +112 on the money line.
Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Paul Skenes, as he gave up just one run in six innings of work for the Pirates. Andre Pallante was excellent for the Cardinals, getting the win after going seven innings and not giving up a run.
Nolan Arenado was the only player in the game to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4 with an RBI. Isiah Kiner-Falefa had two hits for the Pirates.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 71-79 overall, putting them 5th in the NL Central, 16 games behind the Brewers. So far, they have gone 22-21 against other teams in the division. The Pirates dropped the series opener vs. the Cardinals and are 2 games behind the Reds for 4th place in the division.
At home, the Pirates are 38-40 this season, and they are just below .500 at 33-39 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 37-51 this season, and they are 34-28 when favored. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 20-21-6, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.
When it comes to betting on the Pirates this season, it has been more profitable to take them on the run line as the Buccos are 81-69 against the run line. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 43-29 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 57-31 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Pirates and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-75 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 16-17. So far this season, 50.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
Pittsburgh is sending Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Cardinals, and he comes into the game with a record of 8-7 and an ERA of 4.20. Falter has made 25 starts this season and turned in eight quality starts. In his 25 appearances, he has a WHIP of 1.27 and is averaging 6.23 strikeouts per nine innings. The left-hander most recently faced the Marlins, where he picked up the win, going 7 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been even worse at hitting home runs this season, as their 144 homers are 23rd in the MLB. As a team, the Pirates are batting just .235, which is 18th in the league.
Andrew McCutchen has been a major power threat for the Pirates this season, as he has 20 homers, but he is batting just .237 overall and has gone just 2/13 in his last four games. Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot for the team, leading the Pirates in batting average (.280) and RBIs (85).
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is right at .500 with a record of 75-75, and they are 12 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Cubs by two games for the second spot in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 24-25 against other teams in the NL Central this year.
At home, the Cardinals are 40-35 and 35-40 on the road. St. Louis has won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 35-35 when favored this year. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 40-40 this season. So far, they have gone 25-25 as the home favorite.
When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of -3.6 runs per game. Their run line record is 75-75, with a -0.4 run differential. They are 37-38 vs. the run line at home and 38-37 on the road. As the underdog, they are 52-28 vs. the run line, and as the favorite, they are just 23-47.
St. Louis has seen the over hit in 70 of their 146 games this season, and the over/under line for their games has been set at an average of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in 11 of their 28 games. Their games have averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game this season. The under has hit in each of their last two games.
Right-hander Lance Lynn gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces off against the Pirates. Lynn has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 6-4 with a 3.96 ERA. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.41 strikeouts per nine innings. Lynn’s last outing came on September 11th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Lynn has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 5-0 and 3.62 ERA compared to 1-4 with a 6.17 ERA on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 11th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .309 is 13th. St. Louis has been led in home runs this season by both Alec Burleson and Paul Goldschmidt, who each have 21 homers.
Brendan Donovan has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 in his last seven games with a home run. For the season, he is batting .270 with 12 homers. Masyn Winn and Alec Burleson also come into the game with solid batting averages, as they are hitting .271 and .270, respectively. Burleson is the team’s leader in RBIs this season, with 73.