Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 9/27/24

The money line odds for Friday’s Pirates vs. Yankees interleague matchup are sitting at -180 for the Yankees and +152 for the Pirates. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

Carlos Rodon is starting for the Yankees, and he is facing off against Jared Jones for the Pirates. Jones will be looking to help the Pirates pull off the upset, as they are 5th in the NL Central. The Yankees are 1st in the AL East and have a record of 93-66. SN PT is carrying this game on TV.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -180

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Friday, September 27th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS YANKEES:

• We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Pirates Records & Stats

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Brewers scored two runs in the top of the 7th. Pittsburgh was the +102 underdog at home going into the game.

Mitch Keller took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. He also issued two walks and hit a batter. Bryan De La Cruz had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Pirates scored their other run on a Nick Gonzales double. Gonzales also walked twice.

Pittsburgh is 5th in the NL Central, two games behind the Reds for 4th place. Overall, the Pirates are 74-85 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Yankees. Looking at the NL Central, they are 17 games behind the Brewers.

The Pirates have dropped four straight series, and they are 20-25-6 in series this year. As the road underdog, Pittsburgh is 24-36 this year compared to going 35-43 as the overall road team. At home, the Pirates are 39-42.

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.1. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.6. Overall, their run line record is 84-75, and they have been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 45-33.

With an over/under line of 8 runs, the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. The Pirates have a 76-81 over/under record on the year, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 17-20. Overall, 78 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 49.1% of their games. They are currently on a two-game under streak.

Pittsburgh is sending Jared Jones to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 6-8 and an ERA of 4.14. In his 21 starts, Jones has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.59 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently faced the Reds, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone 2-0 in his previous three starts. Jones has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.19 compared to 6.22 on the road.

So far this season, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. At home, they have been slightly better, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .235 and have the league’s 22nd ranked home run total. One thing they have done well is avoid strikeouts, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 26th best mark in the league.

Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have been the Pirates’ top power threats this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 22 homers and Cruz right behind him at 21. Reynolds also leads the team with 85 RBIs, while Cruz is 2nd with 76. Cruz has gone deep twice in his last seven games, but he is batting just .167 over that stretch. Bryan De La Cruz has also gone deep 21 times this season, but he is batting just .234.

Yankees Records & Stats

Giancarlo Stanton and the Yankees are coming off a big 10-1 win over the Orioles to close out their series. Stanton really led the way at the plate, going 2/4 with four RBIs and a homer. The Yankees really broke things open with a six-run 6th inning. Aaron Judge scored the team’s other four runs, going 1/2 with a homer.

Gerrit Cole started for the Yankees, going 6 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Orioles batters. Overall, the Yankees’s pitching staff held the Orioles to just two hits.

The Yankees are 93-66 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. They hold a 5.0 game lead over the Orioles for the top spot in the division. New York will take on the Pirates at home today, and they are 26-26 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Yankees are 43-35 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 50-31. New York has won three straight series on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 75-58 this season, and they are 42-33 when favored at home. Their overall series record is 30-17-4, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Yankees win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is +4.1, while their average run margin in losses is -3.5. They have been a solid run line bet on the road, going 49-32, compared to just 34-44 at home. As a favorite, they are just 61-72 vs. the run line, but as an underdog, they are a strong 22-4.

Today’s game between the New York Yankees and Pittsburgh Pirates has an over/under line of 8 runs. The Yankees have played in 108 games this season with over/under lines higher than 8, which accounts for 67.9% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 84-70. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 12-16-2.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and is coming off a strong outing against the Athletics. In that September 21st start, he went six innings, didn’t give up a run, and came away with the win. Looking back over his last three outings, Rodón has given up a total of four earned runs. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 16-9 with a 3.98 ERA. Rodón’s WHIP for the season is 1.21. Out of his 31 appearances, he has 16 quality starts and is averaging 10.08 strikeouts per nine innings.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top offense in the league in terms of scoring, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. The Yankees also have the league’s top two home run hitters, with Aaron Judge leading the way with 58 homers and Juan Soto right behind him with 41. Judge also leads the MLB in RBIs, with 144.

Over his last six games, Aaron Judge has gone 8/18 with five home runs and eight RBIs. Gleyber Torres has also been swinging the bat well, going 10/29 in his last six games. Judge and DJ LeMahieu both come into the game on five-game hitting streaks, while Anthony Rizzo has a three-game streak of his own.