Miami Marlins vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/27/24
First pitch for Friday’s Marlins vs. Blue Jays interleague matchup is set for 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Blue Jays are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -185, while the Marlins are +155 underdogs. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Miami comes into the game with a record of 59-100, while the Blue Jays are 74-85 overall. Toronto will be starting Jose Berrios, while the Marlins are sending Adam Oller to the mound. In the NL East, the Marlins are in 5th place, while the Blue Jays are also in 5th in the AL East.
MIAMI MARLINS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +155
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Friday, September 27th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Marlins Records & Stats
The Marlins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Twins, closing out their series with an 8-6 win. After allowing one run to the Twins in the bottom of the first, the Marlins responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 2nd inning. Miami went on to add another three runs in the 5th.
Anthony Maldonado picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Marlins, as Miami scored three runs in the top of the 13th to pick up the win. The Marlins were the +212 underdog going into this matchup.
Miami’s overall record is 59-100 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Blue Jays. The Marlins are in 5th place in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 35 games in the division. So far, they have gone just 18-34 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Marlins are 30-51 this year, and they are 29-49 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 55-86 compared to a mark of 4-14 as the favorite. Miami’s overall series record is 12-30-9, and they dropped two straight series at home before taking two of three from the Twins in their most recent series.
When betting the run line on the Marlins, it’s important to consider the fact that they have been an underdog in most of their games this season. As an underdog, they have a run line record of 73-68, compared to just 2-16 when favored. Their overall run line record is 75-84, with an average run differential of -1.4 runs per game. The Marlins have been slightly better at covering the run line on the road (40-38) than at home (35-46).
When the Marlins play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 84-69. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 30-25. In 20.8% of their games, the line has been set at 8.5 runs or higher, and in 44.7% of their games, the line has been set at 8.5 runs or lower. Their current over streak is at 2 games.
Miami is sending right-hander Adam Oller to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 5.06. Oller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.47. In his 37 1/3 innings of work, he has allowed six home runs and is averaging 4.82 walks per nine innings compared to 7.96 strikeouts. Oller’s last outing came on September 21st, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. However, they have been a little better at home, putting up 4.2 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting .242, and their team on-base percentage of .298 is 21st in the league.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez are the Marlins’ top home run hitters this season, with 29 and 18 homers, respectively. Burger is also the team’s leading run producer, with 74 RBIs. Over his last 10 games, Burger is batting .300 with four homers, while Otto Lopez has gone 13/38 (.342) over that stretch.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 6-1 win. After allowing one run to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Blue Jays responded with two runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Kevin Gausman put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Toronto’s offense was carried by Jonatan Clase, who went 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Toronto is 74-85 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, and they trail the Yankees by 19 games in the division. So far, they have gone just 21-31 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays have struggled on the road, going 35-46 compared to an even 39-39 mark at home.
As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 45-31 this season, and they are 29-54 as the underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 17-28-6, and they have dropped three straight series.
When betting on the run line with the Blue Jays, you should consider their road games. Toronto is 51-30 against the run line on the road, compared to just 29-49 at home. The Blue Jays are 47-36 against the run line as underdogs and 33-43 as favorites. They have an average run differential of -0.3 runs per game.
When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs. However, for today’s game against the Miami Marlins, the line is set at 8.5 runs. The Blue Jays have played 43 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their record in those games is 23-20. Overall, the Blue Jays’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-76.
José Berríos has made 31 starts this season, and he is coming off a rough outing against the Rays in which he took the loss. In that start, he went six innings and gave up one earned run. Looking back further, Berríos had picked up the win in three straight starts before the outing vs. the Rays. He has a record of 16-10 this season and an ERA of 3.38. Berríos has one complete game this year and 21 quality starts. For the season, he has allowed 30 home runs and is averaging 7.08 strikeouts per nine innings.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a very consistent offense, as they are also 20th in runs per game on the road and 17th in runs per game at home. As a team, the Blue Jays are batting .242, which is 14th in the league, and have the 9th fewest strikeouts in the league.
First baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, as he is batting .325 with 30 home runs and 102 RBIs. He has been even better of late, going 16/39 in his last nine games with two homers. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .219 for the season.