Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/27/24
Philadelphia is the heavy favorite heading into Friday’s matchup vs. the Nationals, with money line odds of -185 compared to the Nationals at +155. This NL East matchup has a first pitch set for 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. NSPPH is televising Friday’s Phillies vs. Nationals matchup.
The Phillies are 94-65 this season, while the Nationals are 69-90. Philadelphia is starting Ranger Suarez, while the Nationals have Trevor Williams on the mound. Washington comes into the game on a four-game losing streak, and they are +155 underdogs on the money line.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +155
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Friday, September 27th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Cubs, the Phillies closed out the series with a 9-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -212. Offensively, the Phillies scored their nine runs on jsonly 13 hits and three home runs. Nick Castellanos went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Cristopher Sanchez got the start for the Phillies, going 4 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He did struggle with his command, giving up three walks and three earned runs. The Phillies’s bullpen was able to close things out, and José Ruiz picked up the save.
Philadelphia heads into today’s game vs. the Nationals with a record of 94-65, which has them leading the NL East by six games over the Mets. The Phillies are 28-21 against other teams in the NL East. They are also coming off taking two of three from the Cubs in their most recent series.
At home, the Phillies have gone 54-27 this season, and they are just above .500 at 40-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 81-47 this year, and they are 13-18 as the underdog. The team’s overall series record is 27-18-7 this year.
The Phillies have been a good bet on the run line this season, as they are 77-82 overall. They are 40-38 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 0.4 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 61-67 against the run line.
The Phillies have been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is at .500 for the season, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 20-18-3. Today’s line is set at 8 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with a 3.15 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Suárez has one complete game shutout this year and has turned in 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.66 strikeouts and 2.36 walks.
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the majors. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258. Philadelphia’s offense has also been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 7th in the league in walks.
Kyle Schwarber has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/39 in his last nine games with three homers and six RBIs. Nick Castellanos has also been on a tear, going 14/33 in his last nine games, also with three homers and six RBIs. Castellanos is currently on a seven-game hitting streak. For the season, Schwarber’s 38 homers are 6th in the league, while Bryce Harper has gone deep 30 times.
Nationals Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Luis Garcia at the plate, the Nationals scored four runs on seven hits in their most recent game vs. the Royals. However, Washington couldn’t hold onto the lead, as the Royals scored seven runs in the top of the 9th to steal the win. The Nationals were the +147 underdog at home going into this matchup.
Patrick Corbin was excellent for the Nationals, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just four hits and one earned run. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Washington’s bullpen was also to blame, as they allowed three home runs in the 9th.
Washington will take on the Phillies today with an overall record of 69-90, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, spanning across their series vs. the Royals and their current series. In the NL East, they are in 4th place, 25 games behind the Phillies and 7 games behind the 3rd place Braves.
At home, the Nationals are 36-42 this year, compared to a mark of 33-48 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 54-77 this year, and they are 15-13 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Nationals are 19-25-6 and lost three straight series.
The Nationals have a run line record of 87-72 this season, and they are 41-37 against the run line at home. They have an average run margin of -0.7 runs per game, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.3 runs per game.
Washington is hosting Philadelphia tonight, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Nationals games this season is 8.8, and their over/under record is 74-79. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 10-11-1. In 65.4% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs.
Trevor Williams gets the start for the Nationals today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Cubs on September 20th, he gave up one earned run in five innings of work. Looking back further, Williams has made 12 starts and has a record of 5-1 this season. His ERA is an impressive 2.19, along with a WHIP of 1.04. Williams has made just one quality start this year and is averaging 7.88 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed three homers at home and 2.51 on the road.
Washington’s offense has been one of the league’s worst this season, as they are just 25th in runs per game at 4.0. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team slugging percentage. The Nationals do have a couple of hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, as Joey Gallo has two homers in his last seven games, and CJ Abrams has gone deep in four of his last seven games.
For the season, Abrams is the team’s leader in homers (20) and is 2nd in RBIs (65). Luis Garcia Jr. has been the team’s top run producer this season, with 68 RBIs, and is batting .278. He also has 17 homers, which is the 2nd most on the team.