At 10:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-311) will host the Phoenix Suns (+248) in a Western Conference matchup. Denver is currently favored by 7.5 points and has won four straight games. The over/under line for the game is 226.5.

This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and can be seen on ESPN. The Suns are 8th in the Western Conference with a record of 42-30, while the Nuggets are 1st in the West at 51-21.


The Pick: Phoenix Suns +7.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, March 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-109 in favor of the Suns.
  • Our projections have Kevin Durant finishing with Kevin Durant points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Suns finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.6% and knocking down 16 threes.

Will the Suns Make it Happen in Denver?

The Suns are 6.5-point underdogs today against the Nuggets. As underdogs, Phoenix has gone 6-12 straight-up and 7-11 against the spread. On average, they have been outscored by 4.6 points per game as the underdog.

In their last game against the Spurs, the Suns were favored by 12 points but lost the game 104-102. The O/U line for that game was 234.5, and the teams combined for 206 points.

For the season, the Suns have an O/U record of 32-39-1. Today's O/U line of 226.5 is lower than the average line in their games (232). In 53 of their games, the O/U line has been higher than 226.5.

In the Western Conference standings, the Suns are currently in 8th place with a record of 42-30. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 23-20 compared to 19-10 in non-conference games.

This season, the Suns are 29-42 ATS, including a road ATS record of 15-20. Phoenix has gone 2-2 straight-up and 1-3 ATS in their last four games.

When it comes to scoring, the Suns are 10th in the league at 117.1 points per game. Interestingly, they have scored the same number of points on the road as they have at home this season. Overall, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 56.9% of their games.

Phoenix has been one of the most efficient shooting teams in the NBA this season. They are 4th in both field goal percentage and true shooting percentage. Inside the arc, the Suns are 7th in two-point shooting at 56%. However, they are just 26th in three-point attempts.

One area where the Suns have excelled is getting to the free-throw line. They are 5th in free throw attempts per game and 2nd in free throws made. In terms of pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league at 98.4 possessions per game.

Phoenix's defense is currently in line with the NBA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 114.1 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Suns are forcing 14.1 per game, which is 25th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 5th in blocked shots at 6.1 per game.

Will the Nuggets Find a Way to Win at Home?

Denver is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 51-21. In the West, they have gone 29-15 against other conference opponents and are 22-6 against non-conference teams. In the Northwest Division, they are also in 1st place.

At home, the Nuggets are 29-6 this season and have won their last five games at home. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 9.9 points per game at home.

Against the spread at home, Denver is 18-16 and 33-37 overall. As the favorite, they are 28-32 ATS and have won four straight games as the favorite. Today, they are favored by 7.5 points.

In their last game, the Nuggets defeated the Grizzlies by a score of 128-103. The O/U line for that game was 214.5, and Denver covered the spread as 12.5-point favorites.

This season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 29-41-2, and the over has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 224.8 points.

The Nuggets are one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 114.8 points per game (14th). However, their scoring numbers are even better at home, where they average 119.0 points per game (10th).

Denver's offense is built around their ability to score inside the arc. They lead the league in two-point field goal attempts and are 2nd in two-point field goals made (56%). As a team, they are shooting 49% from the field, which is 5th in the NBA.

Despite their success scoring inside, the Nuggets have struggled from beyond the arc. They are last in the league in three-point attempts and have made just 37% of their shots from deep (11th).

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team's to fewer points than the league average in 27.8% of their games. Currently, they are 7th in the NBA at 110.0 points per game allowed. Opponents are hitting 52.5% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they're also connecting on 35.6% of their three-point attempts.