Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 7/19/24
First pitch for Friday’s Phillies vs. Pirates matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The money line odds have the Phillies as the favorite, with their line sitting at -145 compared to the Pirates at +123. This NL matchup can be seen on SN PT, and the Phillies are 62-34, while the Pirates are 48-48 and they have won four straight. Martín Pérez is starting for the Pirates, and the Phillies are going with Aaron Nola.
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the forecast for Friday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East, while the Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +123
This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, July 19th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS PIRATES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Athletics with an 18-3 loss. Philadelphia was actually the heavy favorite at home but fell behind big early, as the Athletics scored eight times in the 2nd.
Offensively, the Phillies only had three fewer hits than the Athletics but scored just three runs. Their lone bright spot was Trea Turner, who went 2/2 with a homer and a run scored. The Phillies really need Alec Bohm to get going, as he’s hitting just .231 on the season.
Philadelphia heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Pirates with an overall record of 62-34, putting them 1st in the NL East. They currently hold an 8.5-game lead over the Braves for the division lead. The Phillies went 15-10 in their first 25 division games this year.
At home, the Phillies have gone 37-16, and they are 25-18 on the road. This year, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 42-17. They have also been really good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 54-26. As for their record as the underdog, they are 8-8 this year. The team dropped two straight on the road to close out their series vs. the Athletics.
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet this season, going 50-46 overall. They’ve been even better on the road, going 23-20 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +0.6, and they’ve covered the run line in two straight road games.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Pittsburgh Pirates today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Phillies have an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 43-48, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 14-11-1. The over has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Pirates on the road. Nola has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 11-4. His ERA is 3.38, along with a WHIP of 1.03. Nola has pitched well this year, with opponents batting just .212. In his last outing, he went six innings, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back over his last four starts, Nola has given up three earned runs in three of them. He has one shutout and complete game this year.
The Phillies have been one of the league’s best offensive teams this season, as they are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best team batting average at .259. Philadelphia also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 4th in the league in walks.
Over his last eight games, Trea Turner has been on fire for the Phillies, going 12/30 with four homers and 10 RBIs. Alec Bohm is also swinging a hot bat, as he is on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .295 for the season. Bohm’s 70 RBIs are good for 3rd in the league and lead the Phillies.
Pirates Records & Stats
Bryan Reynolds and the Pirates are coming off a big 9-4 win over the White Sox to close out their series. Reynolds went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs. The Pirates really broke things open with a four-run 7th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Pirates were the heavy favorite at -166.
Mitch Keller got the start for the Pirates, going three innings and giving up two runs on four hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Pittsburgh’s bullpen was excellent, though, going six innings and only giving up two runs. Quinn Priester got the win out of the bullpen and the Pirates scored an additional three runs in the 8th to close things out.
Pittsburgh is currently at .500 with a record of 48-48, and they will be looking to move above .500 today as they host the Phillies. The Pirates are on a four-game winning streak, and they are 6.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. So far this season, they are 15-14 in divisional games.
At home, the Pirates are 22-24 this season compared to a 26-24 mark on the road. As the underdog, Pittsburgh has gone 27-29 this season and 21-19 as the favorite. The team has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 13-13-5 this year.
When the Pirates are at home, they are 23-23 against the run line. They have a run line record of 53-43 overall. They are 38-18 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
When the Pittsburgh Pirates play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is just below their season average of 8.5 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 45-50, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 10-12. Overall, 50% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Martín Pérez gets the start for the Pirates today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers. In that start, which came on July 10th, he took the loss and gave up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking back at his last three outings, Pérez has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss. His ERA for the season is 5.16, and he has a record of 1-5. Opposing batters are hitting .307 off Pérez this season. So far, he has made 14 appearances, and four of them have been quality starts.
So far this season, the Pirates offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the MLB. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game, compared to just 4.0 runs per game at home. As a team, the Pirates are batting just .231, which is 17th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts and on-base percentage.
Over his last seven games, Bryan Reynolds has gone 9/28 with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .284 with 18 home runs and 61 RBIs. Oneil Cruz is also having a solid season at the plate, with 14 homers and 44 RBIs, but he is batting just .246.