Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/19/24

First pitch for this NL matchup is set for 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The forecast for Friday’s matchup calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid-80s. BSOH is carrying this one on TV.

The Reds are the slight money line favorite, as their odds are at -123 compared to the Nationals at +105. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central, while the Nationals are 4th in the NL East. Patrick Corbin is slated to start for the Nationals, and the Reds are starting Frankie Montas.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +105

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Friday, July 19th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Reds Records & Stats

The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 6th inning before the Marlins scored a run to tie things up and added another in the 8th to take the lead. Cincinnati was the -184 favorite at home going into the game.

Nick Lodolo got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits. The Reds also wasted a big game from Elly De La Cruz, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/3.

Cincinnati is 47-50 overall and trails the Brewers by eight games in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division, two spots behind the Pirates for 3rd place. Cincinnati went 12-14 in divisional games this year and have a series record of 11-17-3, but they have won two straight series.

As the road team today, the Reds are 22-22 compared to 25-28 at home. They have been good as the road favorite this year, going 7-1, and they have won three straight as the road team overall. So far, the Reds have been good as the favorite, going 25-20, and they are 22-30 as the underdog.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 53-44 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 30-14. Their average run differential on the road is +0.8, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games.

The Cincinnati Reds have had a high percentage of games with over/under lines set at 9 runs this season, but they have gone under that total in 16 of 21 games when the line has been set at that number. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 43-50.

Cincinnati is sending right-hander Frankie Montas to the mound today as he faces the Nationals on the road. Montas has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 4-7 with an ERA of 4.38. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Montas has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 7.36 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 12 homers and is averaging 3.74 walks per nine innings.

Elly De La Cruz, Spencer Steer, and Jeimer Candelario have been the Reds’ top power threats this season, as De La Cruz and Steer are 1-2 in RBIs, and De La Cruz leads the team with 17 homers, which is 12th in the league. Candelario is 2nd on the team with 16 homers. De La Cruz comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 11/26 with five homers over his last seven games.

Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better team on the road this season, also averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .231, which is 17th in the league, and are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of striking out.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington closed out their series vs. the Brewers with a 9-3 loss on the road. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +127 underdog. Things started off well for the Nationals, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Brewers scored three times in the bottom of the second.

Jake Irvin got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up six earned runs on nine hits. Juan Yepez was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored and an RBI.

Washington is 44-53 overall and is 18.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 16-15 in divisional games. The Nationals will be hosting the Reds today with an overall record of 20-24 at home and 24-29 on the road.

The Nationals have dropped two straight games and are just 3-7 over their last 10. So far, they have been the underdog in 80 games, and they are 35-45 in those games. As the favorite, Washington is 9-8 this year, and they won their most recent series as they took two of three from the Brewers.

Washington is 54-43 against the run line this season, including a 24-20 mark at home. The Nationals have been a run line underdog in 80 of their 97 games, going 46-34 in those contests. They have been favored in just 17 games, going 8-9 against the run line. Washington’s average run differential is -0.4 runs per game, and they have lost two straight against the run line at home.

The Nationals have been involved in games with an average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 46-47. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 7-7-2. Their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs in 17 games this season, accounting for 17.5% of their games.

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Reds at home. Corbin has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 1-9 with a 5.57 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Corbin has a WHIP of 1.54 and opponents are batting .296 this season. In his last outing, Corbin took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. He has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Corbin has made four quality starts this year.

Washington’s offense is 23rd in the league in runs scored this season at 4.1 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. However, they do have the 13th best team batting average in the league and have done a good job of putting the ball in play, as they are 7th in the league in strikeouts.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top hitters this season, with Abrams leading the team with 48 RBIs and Garcia Jr. 2nd at 45. Abrams has also gone deep 15 times this season, which is 14th in the league. However, both players have struggled of late, with Abrams going 3/21 and Garcia Jr. going 2/15 in their last five games.