Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/23/24
The Phillies are sending Zack Wheeler to the mound vs. the Twins, who will start Simeon Woods Richardson. This one is getting started at 7:40 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East with a record of 63-37, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central at 55-44.
Philadelphia is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. This interleague matchup can be seen on BSN.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline +135
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, July 23rd.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Phillies by a score of 7-2. The Twins offense only had two more hits than the Phillies and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -103 on the money line.
Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Phillies could only muster one more run in the 5th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th and tacked on three insurance runs in the 8th.
Carlos Santana and Max Kepler each homered for the Twins, while Manuel Margot scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5. Ryan Jeffers also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Minnesota.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 63-37, the Phillies lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. So far, they have gone 15-10 in divisional matchups. The Phillies are on the road today, taking on the Twins, and they are 19-15 as the road favorite this season.
Philadelphia has been good at home this season, putting together a record of 37-16. The Phillies have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games and lost the first game of this series vs. the Twins. So far, they are 19-10-5 in series this year.
When betting on the Phillies’ run line, it’s been a coin flip this season, as they are 51-49 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 24-23, and have been a better bet as the favorite, going 43-41. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it’s -3.6 in losses.
Philadelphia has been involved in a high-scoring affair in 45 of their 95 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, the Phillies have gone over the total 15 times, under 11 times, and pushed once. Overall, the Phillies’ O/U record for the season is 45-50.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler is starting for the Phillies today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 2.70 ERA. Wheeler’s WHIP for the season is currently .99, and opponents are batting .187 off him this year. In his last outing, Wheeler picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Looking back over his last four outings, he has allowed two earned runs in three of them. Wheeler has made 14 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.72 strikeouts per nine innings.
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .258. The Phillies also have the 6th most homers in the league.
Over his last 10 games, Trea Turner has gone 14/39 with five homers and 12 RBIs. Bryce Harper is also swinging a hot bat, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .297 for the season with 23 homers. Harper’s 65 RBIs are 2nd on the team, behind Alec Bohm’s 71.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 55-44 overall and is 4.0 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins are 3rd in the AL Central and have gone 19-13 against other teams in the division this year. They are 28-20 at home compared to 27-24 on the road.
As the favorite, the Twins have put together a record of 44-26 this season and are 11-18 when listed as the underdog. At home, they are 5-3 as the underdog this year. Minnesota has an overall series record of 19-11-2 but has dropped two straight series.
Minnesota won the first game of their series vs. the Phillies and will be at home for today’s matchup. Over the last 10 games, the Twins are 5-5.
The Twins have been a good team to bet on the run line with this season, as they are 47-52 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 28-23 ATS. They have been an underdog in 29 games at home and are 19-29 ATS. They have covered the run line in five straight games as an underdog and are 16-13 ATS in those games this season.
The Twins are at home today against the Phillies, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 50-47. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 7-14-2. The over has hit in three straight games for the Twins.
Minnesota is sending Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 3.51. Opposing batters are hitting .224 this season off Woods Richardson, and he has a WHIP of 1.15. Woods Richardson has made five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. He has not lost a game since May 30th. Per nine innings, Woods Richardson has 7.79 strikeouts and 2.63 walks.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are tied for the team lead in home runs, with both players having gone deep 14 times this season. Santana is also 2nd on the team with 44 RBIs, while Jeffers is 1st on the Twins in runs batted in. Carlos Correa is hitting .308 for the Twins and has the most RBIs on the team, going deep 13 times so far.
As a team, the Twins are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game and have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. They also have the league’s 7th best home run total and are near the top of the league in both batting average and slugging percentage.