Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 7/23/24

The forecast looks good for Tuesday’s Cubs vs. Brewers matchup, with the temperature sitting in the mid-80s and partly cloudy skies in Chicago. The game is set to get started at 8:05 PM ET from Wrigley Field. Chicago is currently on a two-game winning streak and is 4th in the NL Central, while the Brewers are 1st in the division with a record of 57-43.

BSWI will be televising Tuesday night’s matchup, and the money line odds have the Cubs as the slight favorite (-119). The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and on the mound, we have Colin Rea for the Brewers and Jameson Taillon for the Cubs.

CHICAGO CUBS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -119

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 8:05 ET on Tuesday, July 23rd.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS CUBS:

• We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cubs vs Brewers series. Chicago went into the matchup as +101 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-1 win. The Cubs offense only had one more hit than the Brewers and struck out eight times, but still picked up the win.

Both teams scored their only run in the 4th inning. Milwaukee had a chance to tie or take the lead in the 8th, but the Cubs bullpen got out of the jam. As for the Brewers, they wasted a good outing from Tobias Myers, who gave up just two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Javier Assad got the start for the Cubs and went just 3 1/3 innings, giving up one hit and striking out two. He didn’t give up a run but also didn’t qualify for a win. Drew Smyly got the win out of the bullpen, and Hector Neris got the save.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is 57-43 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. Currently, they are five games ahead of the Cardinals for the top spot in the division. The Brewers head into today’s game vs. the Cubs having lost two straight games and are 5-5 across their last 10.

So far, the Brewers have gone 21-13 against other teams in the NL Central. At home, they are 29-17 this year compared to 28-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 33-22 and 24-21 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 18-10-3, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When betting the run line on the Brewers, it’s been a good idea to take them as the underdog, as they are 30-15 against the run line in those games. Their overall run line record is 52-48, but they are just 22-33 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game, and they are 29-25 against the run line on the road.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Chicago Cubs, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 54-42. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Brewers have a record of 23-16. So far this season, 21.0% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.

Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Cubs on the road. Rea has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 to go along with a 3.77 ERA. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.51 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rea picked up the win out of the bullpen, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 3.86 ERA compared to 4.03 on the road.

Willy Adames has been on a tear of late, going 14/35 (.400) over his last nine games with three homers and 10 RBIs. Adames is also the Brewers’ leader in homers this season, with 16, which is 13th in the league. Rhys Hoskins and William Contreras are also among the Brewers’ top home run hitters, but Hoskins is batting just .213 this season, and Contreras is at .284.

As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254, which is 5th in the MLB, and are near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging. So far, the Brewers have been very good at making contact, as they have the 19th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago is 49-53 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central, nine games behind the Brewers. The Cubs have gone 13-21 in divisional games this year. They have won two straight games and are 6-4 over their last 10.

At home, the Cubs are 27-23 this season compared to a 22-30 mark on the road. As the home underdog, the Cubs have gone 10-6 this season, and they are an even 23-23 as the favorite. So far this year, their overall series record is 10-18-3.

When the Cubs win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is +3.3. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2. Their run line record is 50-52 overall, but they have been a profitable team to bet on the run line on the road, where they are 31-21. As the favorite, they are just 13-33 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 37-19.

Chicago Cubs games have gone under the total in four straight contests, and the Cubs’ games have gone under the total in 50.0% of their games this season. The average over/under line in their games this season has been 8 runs, and the average combined run total in their games is 8.4 runs. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has gone 12-12. The Cubs have played 27 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, which accounts for 26.5% of their games.

Right-hander Jameson Taillon is getting the start for the Cubs today as he faces off against the Brewers. He comes into the game with a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.10. Taillon has made 16 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.16. In his last outing, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits. Taillon did come away with the win in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Taillon’s ERA at home is 3.13, compared to 3.41 on the road.

Christopher Morel comes into today’s game as the Cubs’ leader in home runs, but he is batting just .202 for the season. However, he has gone 7/27 in his last seven games with two homers. Ian Happ is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 59 RBIs are 15th in the league and the top mark on the Cubs. He has struggled a bit of late, going just 5/27 in his last eight games.

As a team, the Cubs are 23rd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and slugging percentage. Overall, they are 18th in home runs and have the 4th most walks in the league. The Cubs have a collective batting average of .233.