Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/22/24

Both the Phillies and Braves are sending young pitchers to the mound on Thursday, as Cristopher Sanchez gets the start for the Phillies, while the Braves are starting Spencer Schwellenbach. This NL East matchup has a start time of 7:08 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta. FOX is carrying this one on TV.
The Phillies are 74-52 this season, while the Braves are 67-59. Philadelphia is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. This game will be played in Atlanta, and the Braves are second in the NL East.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -112
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:08 ET on Thursday, August 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Atlanta wasted an excellent outing from Max Fried, as he went seven innings and gave up just two runs as the Braves starter vs. the Phillies. Fried did serve up a home run and finished with just four strikeouts. On the other side, Aaron Nola got the start for Philadelphia, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
Philadelphia’s offense was led by Weston Wilson, who homered twice and went 2/3 at the plate. He scored all three of the Phillies’ runs. As for the Braves, Orlando Arcia hit a home run and went 1/3.
The Phillies bullpen was able to close things out, as Matt Strahm got the win and Carlos Estevez got the save. Joe Jimenez took the loss for Atlanta out of the bullpen.
Phillies Records & Stats
With a record of 74-52, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies took the series opener but dropped game two, so they will look to take the series lead today. So far, they have gone 20-13 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have been strong this year, going 42-23. On the road, they are just above .500 at 32-29. As the favorite, the Phillies are 63-40 this year, and they are 22-19 when favored on the road. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 21-14-6 this year.
Philadelphia’s overall record is 74-52 heading into today’s game vs. the Braves. They lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies are 20-13 against the NL East this year. As for their overall series record, the Phillies are 21-14-6.
When the Phillies are on the road, they are a team that is very close to even in terms of run differential, with a +0.2 run scoring margin. Their overall run line record is 61-65, and they are 30-31 against the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are 49-54 against the run line, while as the underdog they are 12-11. In games they win, they have an average run differential of +3.9, while in games they lose, it’s -3.6.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Phillies have played in games with an average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-62. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-14-1. So far this season, 48.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher, and 26.2% have had lines set at 7.5 or lower. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 9-8 with a 3.46 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25, and opponents are batting .253 off him this year. In his 24 appearances, Sánchez has turned in 13 quality starts, along with two complete games and one shutout. His most recent outing was a strong one, as he went nine innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Philadelphia has been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams this season, as they come into the game ranked 9th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. The Phillies are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.
Over his last five games, Trea Turner has gone 7/19 with four runs scored and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting .295 with 13 homers and 85 RBIs, which leads the team and is 9th best in the league. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are also near the top of the league in home runs, with Schwarber’s 28 homers leading the team and Harper’s 26 homers being 2nd on the Phillies.
Braves Records & Stats
Heading into today’s matchup vs. the Phillies, the Braves are 67-59 overall, which has them seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 19-17 in divisional games. The Braves will look to take the series lead over the Phillies today, as the two teams are currently tied 1-1 in the series.
Atlanta has been good on the road this year, going 34-32, and they have been slightly better at home, coming in with a mark of 33-27. As the favorite, the Braves are 57-46 this year, and they are 10-13 as the underdog. The Braves have an overall series record of 20-15-5 and have won two straight series.
The Braves have a run line record of 58-68 on the season, and they are 25-35 against the run line at home. They have a run line record of 33-33 on the road and have covered the run line in two straight games. As the favorite, they are 45-58 against the run line, while they are 13-10 as the underdog. Their average run margin on the season is +0.4 runs per game.
The Atlanta Braves are at home today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Braves have a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 47-74, and their average over/under line is also 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-13-1. Overall, 59.5% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs. Their current under streak is at 3 games.
Spencer Schwellenbach is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Angels, as he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. He ended up taking the loss in that outing. Before that, he had pitched well, turning in three straight quality starts. Schwellenbach has a record of 4-6 this season and an ERA of 4.04. Opponents are batting .230 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.11 strikeouts and just 1.67 walks. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers.
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 10/17 with two homers and six runs scored over his last five games. Ozuna is currently on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .309 for the season, and his 37 homers are the 3rd most in the league. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 21 homers but has a batting average of just .226.
As a team, the Braves are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. Their team batting average of .241 is 12th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in isolated power. Overall, they have been an average offense in terms of scoring runs.